November 15, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Clay Road | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mine to Hold | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invest | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Appraised | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prequalified | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Chill Out | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lectric Choke | 1.20 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Gandhi | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kissedthegirls | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exchange Fever | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twinstinct | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sing a Verse | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Palace Kid | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | K W Captain Flint | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nic Nic Boom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | City Badger | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brutus | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Him With Him | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Shadow | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Earned It | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spring Emperor | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zitman | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mokheef | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m the Talent | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Mischief | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | S W Briar Rose | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chiefs Kingdom | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auldwood Lane | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly On Angel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Be Good | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Wildcat | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucetta’s On Fire | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Nonsense | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rona | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Corey | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Old Bay | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caprichosa | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Polish Cookie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Love My Cat | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gallinella | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Isabellaalexa | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bethabara | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Michelle’s Way | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hydra | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Something | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bluefield | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Persian Queen | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Larimar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zabracadabra | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admire | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trouver | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plot the Dots | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Quest | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Al Brown | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gentleman Joe | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crouchelli | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Hagen | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Happycrest | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Boss of You | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Complete Surprise | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alphardini | 50.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Curls | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Toast to Kay | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tropical Frosty | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orbette | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.