Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 15, 2020

November 15, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Red Clay Road 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mine to Hold 15.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Invest 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Appraised 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Prequalified 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Just Chill Out 10.00 5 10-1
4 4 Lectric Choke 1.20 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cowboy Gandhi 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Kissedthegirls 20.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Exchange Fever 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Twinstinct 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Sing a Verse 4.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Palace Kid 4.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 K W Captain Flint 3.50 8 15-1
2 2 Nic Nic Boom 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 City Badger 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brutus 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 In Him With Him 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Moonlight Shadow 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Earned It 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Spring Emperor 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Zitman 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Mokheef 15.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’m the Talent 4.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Malibu Mischief 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 3 S W Briar Rose 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Chiefs Kingdom 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Auldwood Lane 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Fly On Angel 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Be Good 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Bourbon Wildcat 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Lucetta’s On Fire 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Street Nonsense 15.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Rona 6.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Princess Corey 1.60 2.1 4-1
9 9 Miss Old Bay 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Caprichosa 20.00 2.5 5-1
7A 7 Polish Cookie 20.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Love My Cat 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gallinella 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Isabellaalexa 1.60 1.6 3-1
4 4 Bethabara 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Tiz Michelle’s Way 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Hydra 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Always Something 30.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Bluefield 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Persian Queen 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Larimar 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Zabracadabra 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Admire 2.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Trouver 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Plot the Dots 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bold Quest 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Al Brown 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Gentleman Joe 10.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Crouchelli 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Tom Hagen 12.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Happycrest 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 The Boss of You 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Complete Surprise 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Alphardini 50.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Holiday Curls 15.00 2 4-1
3 3 A Toast to Kay 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tropical Frosty 20.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Orbette 1.60 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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