Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 15, 2020

November 15, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Colombian Gold 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Too Much Heaven 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Lady Noguez 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 A G Indy 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Loud Loud Music 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Star of Africa 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Sabinos Pride 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 White Velvet 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Win Like Coach P 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Capital Heat 1.80 2.9 6-1
4 4 Cheerful Charm 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Ole Silver 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Elgofranco 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Little Miss Belle 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Fierce Kitty 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Turn the Switch 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Seeking Refuge 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Honos Man 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Big City Bane 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tejon 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Silent Musketier 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Go Time 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Mr Right Now 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Tiz Vicious 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Charlito 1.60 2.7 5-1
3 3 Seiche 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Mongolian Kingdom 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Munnings’ Pilot 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tapitution 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 She’s Devoted 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Ana Lisa 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Sofi’s Gold 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 D’s Lovely Sophia 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Time for Ebby 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Concise Advice 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Silk From Heaven 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Eye On Tiger 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 La Aguililla 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Threearchbaymafia 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Follow the Lute 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Lucky Ryan Seven 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Acting Cat 5.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Twirling Derby 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 El Mas Poderoso 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Floyd Moneymaker 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Wild Cat Canyon 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Git On Your Pulpit 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hermaphrodite (FR) 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Velvet Queen 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 All Quality 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 On Mars 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Shanghai Truffles 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Paid Informant 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Equal Measure 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Uncle Boogie 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Spielberg 1.20 2.6 5-1
1 1 Ambivalent 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Red Flag 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Weston 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Coastal Kid 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Velvet 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Evoo 2.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Magical Thought 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Philly Lishes 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Freedom Flyer 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Investment Grade 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Made in Karoo 15.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 American Heights 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Judy With Grace 15.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Bathory 30.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Royal Blend 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Quick and Dirty 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chrome of Our Own 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cami Kate 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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