Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 15, 2020

November 15, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Abundant 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Extreme Force 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Summer Tune 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Rye Humor 1.60 3.8 7-1
1 1 Graves Mill Road 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shilah Baby 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Live It Up 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Summer Lovin 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Abramax 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Frills 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Mis Elain E Us 3.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Twisted Emotions 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Money Inthe Starrs 5.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Clearly Mad 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Etu Babou 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Thrown for a Loupe 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Outlier 1.60 4.3 8-1
4 3 Southern Will 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Unlonely 10.00 4.9 9-1
1A 1 Redoux 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Sir Acealot 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Final Game 20.00 SCRATCH
9A 8 Four Wheeler 15.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ready to Roll 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Totally Jimbo 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Santos Dumont 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sounion 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Letmeno 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Glory Road 4.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Regular Guy 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Cool Rags 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Antigravity 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Santa Cruiser 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Adara 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Big in the City 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Major Chance 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Seminole Beach 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Super Sol 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Kroy 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Debating 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Oro de Tejano 10.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Vice Versa 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Solomonic 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Mississippi 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Frammento 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stillwater Cove 3.50 1.6 3-1
10 5 A Bit of Both 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 Surrender Now 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ambassador Luna 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 4 On Probation 50.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Mentality 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Winning Envelope 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Elle Z 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Miss Gossip (IRE) 50.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Change of Control 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dixieincandyland 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cambria 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Winter Sunset 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Windcracker 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Caddo River 1.60 2.8 5-1
1 1 Alejandro 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Kentucky Pharoah 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Partner’s Hope 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Hometown Hero 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Determined to Rise 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 River Redemption 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pit Boss 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Trident Hit 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Icon 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Working Title 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mister Candy Ride 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Symphonic 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Motagally 3.50 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Low Tide Warning 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 4 Sky Temple 6.00 4.1 8-1
16 7 Call Papa 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Tamanrassett 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 6 Patriarch Artie 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 American Tryst 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Floriform 5.00 SCRATCH
17 17 Wick 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 King Uhtred 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Public Information 6.00 SCRATCH
11A 11 Loyal Louie 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Command Central 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 February Son 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Swingman 3.00 SCRATCH
18A 8 Load Up Moe 15.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Pure Courage 15.00 11.5 22-1
7 5 Double Tough Tiger 20.00 12.3 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Wednesday Parx Racing
Begins Wed, Dec 2 12:25 PM ET
Wednesday Gulfstream Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 12:35 PM ET
Wednesday Delta Downs
Begins Wed, Dec 2 1:55 PM ET
Wednesday Remington Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 8:07 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Europe - Champions League
66'
FC Porto 0
Manchester City 0
Details
Europe - Champions League
69'
Atlético Madrid 1
Bayern Munich 0
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Forest Green 1
Newport County 1
Details
Europe - Champions League
67'
Liverpool 1
Ajax 0
Details
NCAA Football
Final
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Charlotte 49ers
Details
England - Championship
82'
Bournemouth 1
Preston 3
Details
England - Championship
80'
QPR 1
Bristol City 2
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Colchester 1
Crawley Town 1
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Bradford 1
Cheltenham 2
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Grimsby 1
Exeter 4
Details
Go to Scoreboard