Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 15, 2020

November 15, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 New York’s Finest 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Dr. Shane 4.50 2.8 5-1
12A 10 Dowse’s Beach 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Ian Glass 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 The Queens Jules 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Duncastle 3.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 War Stroll 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Another 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Outrageous Bet 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Releasethethunder 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Apache Brave 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Brush Country 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 McErin 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Honorable Hero 30.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Key Cents S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shanes Pretty Lady 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Vacay 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Party At Page’s 1.60 2.5 5-1
2 2 Rossa Veloce 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Chasing Cara 8.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 1 Glynn County 2.00 2.5 5-1
9 6 Made My Day (IRE) 4.00 2.8 5-1
10A 7 Rejected Again 2.00 3.6 7-1
6 3 Life On Top 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 2 Till Then 6.00 4.9 9-1
12 8 Our Country 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 4 Sidd Finch 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 5 Stanhope 15.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Bellarmine Hall 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tenderfoot 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shadow Caster 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Centerfoldprospect 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Blood Moon 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Miami Mumbles 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Commandandcontrol 3.00 1.3 2-1
9 8 Soupster 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Temper Mint Twist 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Sugar Surge 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Harper’s in Charge 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Lutescoot N Boogie 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Patti D 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Despeight All Odds 30.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Hit the Woah 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Flowers for Lisa 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 American Lincoln 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Malibu Pro 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Control Group 1.60 2.9 6-1
4 3 Gio d’Oro 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 American Rule 50.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Runabout 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Candace O 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Linear Thinking (IRE) 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Brynbella 6.00 3.3 6-1
14A 12 Traffic Lane 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Miss Delicious 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lightfoot Miss 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Jawhara 10.00 4.9 9-1
11A 10 Never Content (IRE) 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Little Nutter 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 Ignition Key 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Golden Glow 20.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Unionduesincluded 30.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Fuchsia 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Palm Court 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Wedding Band 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Beachside 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Quintarelli 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Vitesse 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 My Amanjena 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Honorable Avenue 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Fotis 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 King of American 30.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Dublin Green 30.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Glenn Likes Gin 30.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Mongolian Hero 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Tale of the Union 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bears Mafia 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Gandy Dancing 4.50 1.9 4-1
2A 2 Steam Engine 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Runaway Lute 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 More Graytful 6.00 3 6-1
3A 3 Zonic 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Power Up Paynter 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Mr. Pete 30.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Morning Breez 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Duopoly 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Speaktomeofsummer 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Selflessly 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Vigilantes Way 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Crystalle 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Faccio Io (GB) 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 High Opinion 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Thankful 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Bowing Snowman 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Devious Mo 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Daggerboard 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Doublepour 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Dee Bo 3.00 5.5 10-1
12 10 Prince Orb 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Silverado Trail 20.00 7.1 13-1
13 11 Tom’s Choice 15.00 7.1 13-1
11 9 Noctilucent 15.00 7.6 14-1
15 12 Cape Cod Gem 20.00 8.6 16-1
6 5 Prospect Mountain 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Opus Curls 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Go Cash Go 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mighty Meister 30.00 SCRATCH
5 4 In the Zone 30.00 11.4 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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