November 15, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | New York’s Finest | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Shane | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12A | 10 | Dowse’s Beach | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ian Glass | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Queens Jules | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duncastle | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Stroll | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Outrageous Bet | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Releasethethunder | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Apache Brave | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Brush Country | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | McErin | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Honorable Hero | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Key Cents S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shanes Pretty Lady | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vacay | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party At Page’s | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rossa Veloce | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Cara | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 1 | Glynn County | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Made My Day (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10A | 7 | Rejected Again | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Life On Top | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Till Then | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Our Country | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Sidd Finch | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Stanhope | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellarmine Hall | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tenderfoot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Caster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Centerfoldprospect | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blood Moon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miami Mumbles | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Commandandcontrol | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soupster | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temper Mint Twist | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Surge | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harper’s in Charge | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lutescoot N Boogie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Patti D | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Despeight All Odds | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hit the Woah | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Flowers for Lisa | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | American Lincoln | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Pro | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Control Group | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gio d’Oro | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Rule | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runabout | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candace O | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Linear Thinking (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brynbella | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 14A | 12 | Traffic Lane | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Delicious | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lightfoot Miss | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jawhara | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Never Content (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Nutter | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ignition Key | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Glow | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unionduesincluded | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fuchsia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Palm Court | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wedding Band | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beachside | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quintarelli | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vitesse | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Amanjena | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honorable Avenue | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fotis | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of American | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dublin Green | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glenn Likes Gin | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mongolian Hero | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Tale of the Union | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bears Mafia | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gandy Dancing | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Steam Engine | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Lute | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | More Graytful | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Zonic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Power Up Paynter | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Pete | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Breez | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Duopoly | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speaktomeofsummer | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Selflessly | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vigilantes Way | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crystalle | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Faccio Io (GB) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Opinion | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thankful | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bowing Snowman | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Devious Mo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daggerboard | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Doublepour | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dee Bo | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Prince Orb | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silverado Trail | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Tom’s Choice | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Noctilucent | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Cape Cod Gem | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prospect Mountain | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opus Curls | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Go Cash Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mighty Meister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | In the Zone | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.