November 14, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Tillie | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold the Applause | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Bobbit | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Have Fun | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elite Speed | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgian Dancer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Podgora | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tara Dawn | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Subzero Plus | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rince Tapaigh | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piquet | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rose Ring | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Mamba | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finding Perfection | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burbank Road | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leon Azul | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sothatsthewayitis | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Gizmo | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Yes to Mischief | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Advocating | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raven’s Song | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twister Alert | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lacougra | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | River of Pearls | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Hats | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Munny | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Venus Verity | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Born to Be Good | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Giant Sonet | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | If Six Was Nine | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Beach | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simply a Zoomer | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parable | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Driver | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Penetanguishene | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Playing Smart | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honey Girl | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Right to Freedom | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Love in the Air | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gote Go | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Right Round | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Careless Heiress | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Ore | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Romy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Munnyfor Ro | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On a Tour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Silver Smoke | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Executive Giant | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cruden Bay | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arquebus | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Executive Holiday | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boxer Brief | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Magical | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Awesomecrest | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Romantic | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rookie Radar | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Virreinato | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Afleet Eddie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Took a Wrong Turn | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 10 | True Valour (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Olympic Runner | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Circle of Friends | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Eagle Song (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Richiesinthehouse | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cash Dividend | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Malibu Secret | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lookinatamiracle | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Alicia’s Kid | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silent Jimmie | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Destination | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shirl’s Speight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dun Drum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kingly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – South Ocean S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Lynn | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dejas Too | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Absolute Privilege | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Equinox | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jilli Marie | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunsprite | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meet the Soprano | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Silent Sparkle | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Guroo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gizmo’s B F F | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Western Trouble | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O’Kratos | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diddley | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hitters Park | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sure Would Forest | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Analyzer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Carver | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bay of Rum | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Ami | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lili’s Song | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Patriotic | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Scribbles | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betwixting | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monastery Lane | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West Paw | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Express Banking | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hai Bobbi | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patton’s Girl | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love Daddy | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Suzy Mascara | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | La Paquita | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dad’s Missy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Egyptian Nights | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Forest Lass | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tackle the North | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Lilibet | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Scoregirlscore | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Snippy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Toy Show | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classy Vision | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sadie Irene | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Look Incredible | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready’s Princess | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.