Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 14, 2020

November 14, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aunt Tillie 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Hold the Applause 2.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Miss Bobbit 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Let’s Have Fun 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Elite Speed 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Georgian Dancer 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Podgora 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Tara Dawn 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Subzero Plus 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Rince Tapaigh 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Piquet 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Rose Ring 4.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Big Mamba 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Finding Perfection 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Burbank Road 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Leon Azul 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Sothatsthewayitis 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Romantic Gizmo 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Yes to Mischief 0.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Advocating 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Raven’s Song 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Twister Alert 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Lacougra 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 River of Pearls 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Ten Hats 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Smart Munny 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Venus Verity 3.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Born to Be Good 3.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Giant Sonet 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 If Six Was Nine 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Queen Beach 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Simply a Zoomer 8.00 5 10-1
8 8 Parable 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Baby Driver 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Penetanguishene 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Playing Smart 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Pocket 20.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Honey Girl 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Right to Freedom 2.00 1.5 3-1
9 8 Love in the Air 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Gote Go 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Right Round 8.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Careless Heiress 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Diamond Ore 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Romy 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Munnyfor Ro 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 On a Tour 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Silver Smoke 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Executive Giant 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cruden Bay 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Arquebus 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Executive Holiday 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Boxer Brief 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Mr. Magical 12.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Awesomecrest 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Tiz Romantic 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Adelaide Court 20.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Rookie Radar 20.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Virreinato 20.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Afleet Eddie 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Took a Wrong Turn 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 10 True Valour (IRE) 4.00 3 6-1
11 9 Olympic Runner 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Circle of Friends 12.00 4 8-1
8 6 Eagle Song (IRE) 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Richiesinthehouse 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 8 Cash Dividend 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Malibu Secret 15.00 6 11-1
4 3 Lookinatamiracle 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 7 Alicia’s Kid 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 2 Silent Jimmie 30.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Clear Destination 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shirl’s Speight 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dun Drum 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Kingly 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – South Ocean S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speedy Lynn 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Dejas Too 4.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Absolute Privilege 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Red Equinox 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Jilli Marie 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sunsprite 1.60 4.1 8-1
5 5 Meet the Soprano 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Silent Sparkle 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Silent Guroo 20.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Gizmo’s B F F 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Western Trouble 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 O’Kratos 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Diddley 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Hitters Park 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sure Would Forest 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Analyzer 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Stone Carver 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Be Vewy Vewy Quiet 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Bay of Rum 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Golden Ami 2.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Lili’s Song 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Super Patriotic 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pink Scribbles 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Betwixting 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Monastery Lane 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 West Paw 20.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Express Banking 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Hai Bobbi 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Patton’s Girl 30.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Love Daddy 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Suzy Mascara 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 La Paquita 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Dad’s Missy 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Egyptian Nights 6.00 4.6 9-1
14 13 Forest Lass 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Tackle the North 8.00 5.1 10-1
13 12 Lilibet 10.00 5.6 11-1
12 11 Scoregirlscore 12.00 6 11-1
7 6 Snippy 20.00 7.1 13-1
15 14 Toy Show 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Classy Vision 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 10 Sadie Irene 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 I Look Incredible 30.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Ready’s Princess 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Calais Cove 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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