Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 14, 2020

November 14, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Irish Aura 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Superstition 1.80 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lilypop 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Marie 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Vegas Palm 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Shizaam (IRE) 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Le Tub 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pharoah’s Heart 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hapi Hapi 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Next Revolt 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Babael 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Alvaaro 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Single Me Out 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Show Business 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Causeididitmyway 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Baby Gronk 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 England’s Rose 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 This Tea 2.50 3.5 7-1
9 8 Ya Beauty (GB) 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 9 Awesome Ella 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Lookintogeteven 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Shes’a Perfectlady 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Rocking Redhead 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Lookin So Lucky 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 6 Bellize 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Let’s Go Now 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Honoring Major 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Wilshire Dude 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Pubilius Syrus 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Conquest Cobra 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Camino de Estrella 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Move Over (GB) 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 New Year 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Little Liliana 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 7 Flag Salute 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Agata 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Sircat Nelly 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Coco’s Joy 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Race Judicata 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Del Mar Flash 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Squared Shady 3.50 5.6 11-1
4 3 Princess Sadie 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Ms Michelle 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Our Little Tiger 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dontmesswithtess 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Kiss Today Goodbye 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Canadian Pride 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Secret Touch 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Mystery Man 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dark Prince 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Blue Jays 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Oil Can Knight 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Divine Armor 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One Flew South 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Factorial 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Preaching Trainer 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Thanks Mr. Eidson 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Psycho Dar 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mr. Lovejoy 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Quick Finish 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Undeniable Proof 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Flip the Coin Jan 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Desi Arnaz S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Private Mission 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 7 Astute 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Queengol 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Heels Up 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Miss Costa Rica 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Canoodling 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Plum Sexy 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Varda 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Circleofchampions 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Discretionary Day 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Big Story 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Moving Fast 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Warrens Candy Man 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Big Flint 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Whiskey Vision 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Blue Star 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Club Champ 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Alpine Thunder 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Club Cal 30.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Big Talker 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 That Corey 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 By Moonlight 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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