November 14, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flintshire’s Rock | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Out of Tune | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dreampoint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Full Moon Fever | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Sonic Speed | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Halpert | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Martinez | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Danzigwiththestars | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | What’s My Category | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Writer’s Regret | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Data Deal | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 11 | Go Cash Go | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Giramonte | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stone Crazed | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Production Credit | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | On Our Way Boyz | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Scoreswhenhewants | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cause of Action | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cavaradossi | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mine the Coin | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Classy Papa | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Daddy Knows | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Dr’s Slippers | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ventus | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Magnetron | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Iron Pearls | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Master of the Ring | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Risk Taking | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crew Dragon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aviano | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | No Obligation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Jimmy P | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Original | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Proven Innocent | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fingal | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Please the Pharoah | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bourbonic | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Rational Choice | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Hilliard | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Our Destiny | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Three Jokers | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Leap to Glory | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Runningwscissors | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | False Alarm | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Possetizzly | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | On the Couch | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Breeze Burner | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impazible Odds | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Three Outlaws | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Big Wonder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Our Troubadour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wild William | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Veterans Beach | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic One | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Unbridled Honor | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebopper | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kid Cash | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Reds | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Momza | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magnificent Chrome | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Weyburn | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzle Time | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ohyoudidntknow | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Risky Woods | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Junkanoo | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Family Biz | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Graded On a Curve | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Klickitat | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gauguin (GER) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alley Oop Johnny | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bray | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes and Yes | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kendama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Scanno | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Camanoe | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starting Over | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Notebook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blue Gator | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horn of Plenty | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Orb | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Trouble | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Shooter | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Alert | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Right | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Madeleine Must (FR) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stone Tornado (GB) | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Secure Connection | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Circle of Love | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Aunt Nadine | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bredenbury (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | So Gracious | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gypsy Janie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Slimey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gone Glimmering | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Royal Collection | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dendrobia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sister Sophia | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Artie Schiller S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Backsideofthemoon | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Delaware (GB) | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Valid Point | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Therapist | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sea Foam | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rinaldi | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hembree | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hawkish | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chilly in Charge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Compound It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Ninety One Assault | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Clear Vision | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballagh Rocks | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Just Right | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thorny Tale | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Caretaker | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kosciuszko | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bronx Bomber | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Diggitty | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Big Thicket | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Lilies | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Hot Out | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eye Luv Lulu | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | San Juan Diego | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.