Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 14, 2020

November 14, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flintshire’s Rock 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Out of Tune 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dreampoint 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Full Moon Fever 6.00 SCRATCH
11 8 Sonic Speed 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Halpert 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 6 Martinez 2.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 Danzigwiththestars 3.00 SCRATCH
10 7 What’s My Category 12.00 5.8 11-1
15 10 Writer’s Regret 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 5 Data Deal 12.00 6.8 13-1
16 11 Go Cash Go 15.00 7 13-1
12 9 Giramonte 15.00 8 15-1
3 2 Stone Crazed 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 3 Production Credit 30.00 11.1 21-1
5 4 On Our Way Boyz 30.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Scoreswhenhewants 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Cause of Action 4.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Cavaradossi 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Mine the Coin 4.00 3.1 6-1
8A 6 Classy Papa 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 7 Daddy Knows 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 The Dr’s Slippers 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Ventus 20.00 7.6 14-1
6A 6 Magnetron 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Iron Pearls 30.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Master of the Ring 3.50 1 2-1
2A 1 Risk Taking 5.00 2 4-1
6 5 Crew Dragon 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Aviano 8.00 4.1 8-1
13 13 No Obligation 15.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Jimmy P 4.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Original 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Proven Innocent 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Fingal 10.00 5 9-1
11 10 Please the Pharoah 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Bourbonic 15.00 5.7 11-1
14A 14 Rational Choice 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Hilliard 30.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Our Destiny 6.00 2.1 4-1
12 5 Three Jokers 1.60 2.8 5-1
14 7 Leap to Glory 2.50 3 6-1
13 6 Runningwscissors 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 False Alarm 50.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Possetizzly 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 3 On the Couch 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 4 Breeze Burner 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Impazible Odds 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Three Outlaws 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Big Wonder 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Our Troubadour 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wild William 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Veterans Beach 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dynamic One 4.00 1.3 2-1
12 11 Unbridled Honor 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Rebopper 6.00 1.4 3-1
11 10 Kid Cash 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 The Reds 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Momza 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Magnificent Chrome 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Weyburn 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Dazzle Time 15.00 3.4 7-1
10 9 Ohyoudidntknow 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Risky Woods 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Junkanoo 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Family Biz 1.40 SCRATCH
9 7 Graded On a Curve 3.00 3.5 7-1
12 9 Klickitat 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Gauguin (GER) 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Alley Oop Johnny 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bray 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Yes and Yes 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Kendama 20.00 SCRATCH
11 8 Scanno 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Great Camanoe 30.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Starting Over 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Notebook S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blue Gator 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Horn of Plenty 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Eagle Orb 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Lookin for Trouble 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Storm Shooter 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Market Alert 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Half Right 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Madeleine Must (FR) 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Stone Tornado (GB) 2.00 3.9 7-1
10 7 Secure Connection 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Our Circle of Love 2.50 SCRATCH
12 8 Aunt Nadine 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Bredenbury (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 So Gracious 15.00 7.1 13-1
13 13 Gypsy Janie 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Slimey 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kitten’s Covergirl 12.00 7.6 14-1
14 14 Gone Glimmering 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Royal Collection 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Dendrobia 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sister Sophia 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Artie Schiller S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Backsideofthemoon 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Delaware (GB) 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 7 Valid Point 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 8 Therapist 2.50 4.9 9-1
11 11 Sea Foam 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Rinaldi 3.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Hembree 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hawkish 10.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Chilly in Charge 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Compound It 8.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Ninety One Assault 15.00 8.2 16-1
7 5 Clear Vision 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Ballagh Rocks 12.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Just Right 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Thorny Tale 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 The Caretaker 2.00 4 8-1
3 3 Kosciuszko 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Bronx Bomber 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Hot Diggitty 15.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Big Thicket 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Seven Lilies 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 It’s Hot Out 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Eye Luv Lulu 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Manifest Destiny 30.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 San Juan Diego 30.00 9.4 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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