Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 13, 2020

November 13, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gator Shining 1.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Chasing Fame 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Lance the Legend 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Gregory’s Pride 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Sai Con (FR) 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Enough Nonsense 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Mac Daddy Too 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Whidbey Prince 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sapphire Silk 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Summer Love 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Samandah 4.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Pasito 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Invincibella (GB) 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 La Rosa Drive 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Heart River 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Realrealgood 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rose’s Crystal 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Slew South 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Jan Jan Can 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Envy 3.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Lakaya 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Keep Dancing 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Forever Free 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Buy Wave Buy 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Phoenix Tears 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Midnight Jamboree 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Into Victory 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Gotta Be Lucky 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Nicole Grace 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 With a Whisper 15.00 5 9-1
9 8 Slew’s Screen Star 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Moreavino 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Adrienne’s Progeny 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Princess Tale 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hurley 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sugary 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Lakerball 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Quinnie 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Seaside Dancer 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lucky Peridot 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Peach Time 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Lexington Grace (IRE) 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Miss Flawless (FR) 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Give Me a Hint 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Mama’s Kid 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Just Grace 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Senoradiablo 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Hit It Twice 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 7 Sybil’s Kitty 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Zillinda 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Majestic Diva 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Super Klaus 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Cali Caliente 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 4 Salvator Mundi 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Murad Khan (FR) 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 3 Gray Magician 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 8 Cleopatra’s Strike 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Untamed Domain 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Musawaat (GB) 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 7 Kazan (IRE) 20.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Barristan The Bold (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tartini 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 As Required 2.50 2.4 4-1
12 12 Tequila Diva 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Gemstone Gal 12.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 You’re All Talk 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ruthies Racer 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 I’m the Boss of Me 3.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Daring Cat 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Bingos System 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Paint Me Again 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Smart Lola 20.00 7.3 14-1
13 13 Brewed Big 30.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Lady Mo 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Best Lady 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pirates Cross 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Capo Mafioso 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Drasario (IRE) 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 C Falls 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Tembo 5.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Full Draw 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 My Indy 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 K P D Day 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Canadian Luck 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Recreate 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 River North 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Western Smoke 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Most Sandisfactory 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Meadway 30.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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