November 13, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gator Shining | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Fame | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lance the Legend | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gregory’s Pride | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sai Con (FR) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enough Nonsense | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mac Daddy Too | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whidbey Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sapphire Silk | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Love | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Samandah | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pasito | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invincibella (GB) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Rosa Drive | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart River | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Realrealgood | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rose’s Crystal | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slew South | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jan Jan Can | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Envy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lakaya | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keep Dancing | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Free | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buy Wave Buy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phoenix Tears | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Jamboree | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Into Victory | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gotta Be Lucky | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nicole Grace | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | With a Whisper | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Slew’s Screen Star | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Moreavino | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Adrienne’s Progeny | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Tale | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hurley | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugary | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lakerball | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quinnie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seaside Dancer | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Peridot | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Time | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Give Me a Hint | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mama’s Kid | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Grace | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senoradiablo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hit It Twice | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sybil’s Kitty | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zillinda | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Diva | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Klaus | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Cali Caliente | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Salvator Mundi | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Murad Khan (FR) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gray Magician | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Untamed Domain | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Musawaat (GB) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kazan (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tartini | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | As Required | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tequila Diva | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gemstone Gal | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | You’re All Talk | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruthies Racer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m the Boss of Me | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daring Cat | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bingos System | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paint Me Again | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Lola | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brewed Big | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Mo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Best Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pirates Cross | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Capo Mafioso | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drasario (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C Falls | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tembo | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Full Draw | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Indy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | K P D Day | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Luck | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Recreate | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | River North | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Western Smoke | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Most Sandisfactory | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Meadway | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.