Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 13, 2020

November 13, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Into Vanishing 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Hit the Woah 1.80 2.7 5-1
12 8 Amalfi Princess 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Tekila 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Imagery 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 7 Why She Dew Dat 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Take It Off 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 5 Blue Paynt 12.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Special Assistant 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Split Then Double (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Gabby Squared 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pangaea Proxima 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Anzio Beach 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Pier Forty 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Royal Suspect 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Allied Invasion 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Lost in Rome 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Double Shot 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Lightning Rob 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiltingatwindmills 4.50 3.4 6-1
13 5 Nasty Affair 2.50 4.5 8-1
12 4 Five Alarm Robin 15.00 5.2 10-1
14 6 Ok Honey 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Amos 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 3 Vibrancy 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Lady Fatima 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ribbon Winner 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 A Girl Named Jac 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ebullient 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Skye Snow 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pallas Athene 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Blame the Gods 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mike’s Girl 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Vermont Billy 0.80 1.1 2-1
6 5 Brees Bayou 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Warfront Fighter 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Mucho Sunshine 8.00 3 6-1
5 4 Wild Cat West 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Lucky Lindsey 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Canarsie Girl 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Jayvian Rags 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 3 Super Dude 3.50 3 6-1
4 1 Lucky Ramsey 4.00 3.2 6-1
15 4 Fleet Irish 10.00 3.4 6-1
16 5 Creative Style 2.50 3.7 7-1
13 2 Chief Know It All 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Carbon Data 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Good Old Boy 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Siding Spring 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jack the Cat 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Soulmate 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Old Dominion 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rapt 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Honorable Hero 50.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Glad Rock (GER) 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nutzforboltz 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Another 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Blackjack Davey 1.60 2.8 5-1
10 9 Farragut 3.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 Pategory One 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Prince of Pharoahs 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 This Cat Can Fly 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Dancers for Token 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Paddy All Day 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 5 Run for Boston 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Forever Wicked 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 The Last Ace 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Full Impact 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 3 War Tocsin 10.00 3 6-1
8 5 Twelth Man 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 2 Blindwillie McTell 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 1 The Sicarii 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Manolito 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Adare 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Binkster 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 5 Backsideofthemoon 2.00 3.6 7-1
10 3 Ekhtibaar 6.00 3.8 7-1
16A 6 Musical Heart 8.00 3.8 7-1
13 4 Winston’s Chance 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 1 Financial System 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Arthur Kitt (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Value Engineering 3.00 SCRATCH
4A 4 Winning Factor 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hieroglyphics 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Conviction Trade 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mr. Alec 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Patriot Drive 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Blameless 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Epic Bromance 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Expert 10.00 SCRATCH
9 2 Evaluator 30.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Square Shooter 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Saint Alfred 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Shamrocked 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Business Cycle 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Direct Order 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 8 Big Mountain 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Hushion 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Hooray for Harvey 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Coltandmississippi 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Hawaiian Noises 30.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Successful Saint 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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