Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 12, 2020

November 12, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Download 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Jacoba 10.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Derzkii 1.40 3 6-1
6 6 Dallian M. 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Exceed 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Knight Kingdom 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Savvy Layla 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jacks Escarpment 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Slip Kid 1.60 3.9 7-1
1 1 Majestic Slew 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Goodoldhockeygame 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Tale of Vienna 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Front Nine 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Butler’s Pick 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Stormy Leo 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Tinker Ring 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Raven’s Cry 20.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Simple Souvenir 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Amplio Esquema 2.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Shanghai Bound 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Freedom Machine 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Eleanor Powell 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Letter Roll 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Ambitious Princess 15.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Dama Elegante 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 In Pursuit 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hoity Toity 2.50 3.4 7-1
11 11 Trail Blazing Essa 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Lost Corsage 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Pleather Jacket 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Queen Licia 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Redhair N Freckles 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Smirk N Swagger 20.00 8.7 17-1
12 12 Miss Evangeline 20.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Pippi 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Ri N Ginger 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Miss Matilda 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Vesperanza 20.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Mahone Bay 20.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Shishka 20.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 Don’t Smile Lilah 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silver Sunrise 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Leave It With Me 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Rosa’s Soul 3.00 2.7 5-1
11 8 Pemberley 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tourist Attraction 20.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Haute 15.00 9 17-1
8 7 Slashs Red Diamond 12.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Threatlevelmidnite (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Canelita 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Divine Genesis 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Kentucky Fan 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dynamic Contrast 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Reign by Rein 3.50 SCRATCH
15 10 Only Believe 20.00 10.1 19-1
12 9 Twocankeepasecret 20.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Sarcastic Lady 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dashi 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Frame This 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Frost Dance 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Echo in the Forest 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Twomanyshots 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 This Round’s Mine 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Blazing Bourbon 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Stormy Vision 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Anita Grigio 20.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Muskoka Lady 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 You Cant Catch Her 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Zoysia 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Rolling Sloan 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Go Gigi Go Gigi Go 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 French Charm 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Get Off My Tail 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mustn’t Grumble 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Boatloadofnerve 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Benevida 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cheekylicious 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Sugar Pie 3.00 4 8-1
10 10 Beat the Rush 6.00 4.8 9-1
12 11 Valley Girl 4.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Totally Perfect 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Joan’s Christine 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Savvy’s Sister 10.00 8.2 15-1
16 14 Sick Society 20.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Oxesome 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Pressure Front 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Petite Amie 20.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Raspberry Wild 20.00 10.9 21-1
14 13 Fine Lady 20.00 11 21-1
13 12 Cheetahra 20.00 11.1 21-1
7 7 Keep Your Silence 20.00 11.1 21-1
3 3 Flatoutonamission 20.00 11.2 21-1
2 2 Senorita Uno 20.00 11.8 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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