November 12, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Download | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jacoba | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derzkii | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dallian M. | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exceed | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knight Kingdom | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy Layla | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jacks Escarpment | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slip Kid | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Slew | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goodoldhockeygame | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Vienna | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Front Nine | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butler’s Pick | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Leo | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tinker Ring | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raven’s Cry | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Simple Souvenir | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amplio Esquema | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Bound | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Machine | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eleanor Powell | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Letter Roll | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambitious Princess | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dama Elegante | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Pursuit | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hoity Toity | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trail Blazing Essa | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lost Corsage | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pleather Jacket | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Licia | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Redhair N Freckles | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smirk N Swagger | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Evangeline | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pippi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ri N Ginger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miss Matilda | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vesperanza | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mahone Bay | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shishka | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Sunrise | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leave It With Me | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosa’s Soul | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Pemberley | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tourist Attraction | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Haute | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Slashs Red Diamond | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Threatlevelmidnite (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Canelita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Divine Genesis | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kentucky Fan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dynamic Contrast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Reign by Rein | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 10 | Only Believe | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Twocankeepasecret | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarcastic Lady | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dashi | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frame This | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frost Dance | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Echo in the Forest | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twomanyshots | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | This Round’s Mine | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Bourbon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Vision | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anita Grigio | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Muskoka Lady | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | You Cant Catch Her | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zoysia | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rolling Sloan | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Gigi Go Gigi Go | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | French Charm | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Off My Tail | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mustn’t Grumble | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boatloadofnerve | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benevida | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheekylicious | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Sugar Pie | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beat the Rush | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Valley Girl | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Totally Perfect | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joan’s Christine | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savvy’s Sister | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 14 | Sick Society | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Oxesome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pressure Front | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Petite Amie | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raspberry Wild | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Fine Lady | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Cheetahra | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keep Your Silence | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flatoutonamission | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senorita Uno | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.