Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 12, 2020

November 12, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Red Hot Kitten 30.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Eloquent Lady 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Saratoga Beauty 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Rapidashqueen 15.00 4 8-1
3 3 Paul’s Plunder 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Lookin for Candy 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Keeper in Spite 3.00 7 13-1
7 7 Vics Cool Cat 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Bananas On Fire 15.00 1.4 3-1
10 11 Notorious Rey 30.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Little Lion 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 2 Manklin Creek 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 10 Maid the Journey 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 You Are Awesome 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 9 Charlie Potatoes 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 8 Gaming Jack 3.00 7.4 14-1
1A 4 It’s Sizzling Time 6.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Goldie’s Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Fole’s Notion 15.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Natty Beau 2.50 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tauber 5.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Tonka Flower 5.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Goodluckchuck 20.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Workin On a Dream 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Noble Way 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Seven On the Rocks 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Big Hambone 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Goodluckjohnathan 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Tastes Like Plaid 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rookie Salsa 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Holy Saint 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Not On My Watch 12.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Fraudulent Charge 10.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Salamina 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Offlee Graysful 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Howsafearemycolors 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Italian Dressing 12.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Danger Zone 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Heartful 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Kelly Green 20.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Marvella Nasty 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sunday in L B C 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Yira 20.00 1.6 3-1
14 14 Don’tbaggagecheck 15.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 La Belle de Course 1.80 1.8 3-1
11 11 Introspection 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Aspen Rose 4.50 2 4-1
12 12 Adabel 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Moon Over Victoria 30.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Utterly Enchanting 15.00 3 6-1
10 10 Merry Maid 30.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Alphardini 50.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cougar Vision 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Scarlet Tanager 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mama Dune 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rockin Anna Rollin 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Miss Philly Dilly 3.50 1.6 3-1
11 11 My Super Sally 12.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Sevilla Sangria 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Belief Cure 30.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Imagine Victory 10.00 2.7 5-1
13 13 Fancy Princess 20.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Bodemax 6.00 2.8 5-1
15 15 Sidney Sue 15.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Steely Band 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Extravagant Miss 30.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Emperadora 30.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Solea 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ms. Haiti 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Awesome Butterfly 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Caprichosa 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Zitarrosa 2.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 The Italian 30.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Glengar 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Smokin Hot Factor 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sunman 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Ticker Tape Parade 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Keeping the Peace 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Moti 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Atreyu 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 He’s Zippin On By 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Charm City Band 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Higher Purpose 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Baptize the Boy 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Redeem Eddie 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Russeldoingthings 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Nautical Nature 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Whiskey and You 12.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Burford 30.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Railmaster 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Padrino’s Heart 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Colonel Juan 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Hayne’s Fever 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Fast Master 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Midnight Act 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Sassy King 15.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Bobby G 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Hero’s Hope 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Posterity 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rock Solid Golfer 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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