Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 12, 2020

November 12, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Uno 1.60 1.4 3-1
5 5 High Limit Room 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Forty Two Ace 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Masked Marauder 1.40 2.6 5-1
3 3 Hangout 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Big Brown Shoes 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 King Angelo 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shinjuku 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Wudda U Think Now 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 6 Rift Valley 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Not Phar Now 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Ernie Banker 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Freudian Analyst 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Striking Causeway 2.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Freudian Fate 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Black Irish 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Scuttlebuzz 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wicked Title 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Happy Sophia 1.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Rude Awaking 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sky Kitten 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Appletini 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Lookbothways 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Evan’s Nice Now 30.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Starship Bubba 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Spitball 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Onward 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Money in the Bank 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Beta 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Victory Built 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 I Saw It All 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Double Shot 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Qian B C 8.00 SCRATCH
13 4 Road to Meath 2.50 2.4 5-1
11A 3 Smile Bryan 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Our Troubadour 20.00 SCRATCH
15 5 Twelfth Labour 3.00 3 6-1
16 6 Fed Funds 3.50 3.4 7-1
10 10 Captain Thunder 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mission Wrapitup 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Souper Highvoltage 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Standup 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Il Primo Sole (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH
9 2 Light the Posse 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Fair Catch 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tenure 3.50 SCRATCH
5A 5 Bad Beat Brian 2.00 SCRATCH
7 1 Alongcametheprince 50.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ten Plagues 12.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Big Tony’s Girl 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 5 Full of Fire 3.00 2 4-1
9 7 Rosey’s Peach 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Khali Magic 8.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Miss Comedian 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 3 The Great Poohdini 15.00 5 10-1
3 1 Vive La Liberty 15.00 5.7 11-1
12 10 Adirondack Queen 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 4 Wish for Magic 20.00 7 13-1
8 6 Gabby’sgoldenvoice 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 2 Madame Rose 30.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wushu Warrior 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Fox Red 1.20 2.2 4-1
6 6 Wegotoldyougotsold 2.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 El Potro 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Currency Chrome 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Our Honor 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tale of Mist 30.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Professor Snape 50.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mischief Afoot 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Our Last Buck 1.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Dudley Square 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 V. I. P. Ticket 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 First Line 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fried Rice King 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Tri Saint Lorenzo 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Unbridled John 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Height 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tiz Envy 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Tizme Bobby McGee 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Uncle Ned 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Lorenzen 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Confectioner 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Seediskid 30.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Wild Cat West 3.50 SCRATCH
11 9 Across the Channel 50.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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