November 12, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Uno | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Limit Room | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Forty Two Ace | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masked Marauder | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hangout | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Brown Shoes | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King Angelo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shinjuku | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Wudda U Think Now | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Rift Valley | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Not Phar Now | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ernie Banker | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Striking Causeway | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Freudian Fate | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Black Irish | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scuttlebuzz | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Title | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Sophia | 1.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rude Awaking | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Kitten | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appletini | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookbothways | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Evan’s Nice Now | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Starship Bubba | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spitball | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onward | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money in the Bank | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beta | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Victory Built | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Saw It All | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double Shot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Qian B C | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 4 | Road to Meath | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11A | 3 | Smile Bryan | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Troubadour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 5 | Twelfth Labour | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 6 | Fed Funds | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Thunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mission Wrapitup | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Souper Highvoltage | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Standup | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Il Primo Sole (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 2 | Light the Posse | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fair Catch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tenure | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Bad Beat Brian | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 1 | Alongcametheprince | 50.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ten Plagues | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Big Tony’s Girl | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Full of Fire | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rosey’s Peach | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khali Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Miss Comedian | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Great Poohdini | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Vive La Liberty | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Adirondack Queen | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wish for Magic | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gabby’sgoldenvoice | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Madame Rose | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wushu Warrior | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fox Red | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Potro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Currency Chrome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Our Honor | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Mist | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Professor Snape | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Afoot | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Last Buck | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dudley Square | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | V. I. P. Ticket | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Line | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fried Rice King | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled John | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Height | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Envy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizme Bobby McGee | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Ned | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lorenzen | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confectioner | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seediskid | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Cat West | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Across the Channel | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.