Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 8, 2020

November 8, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gate Speed 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Zorich 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Leprino 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Colt Fiction 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Hollywood’s Best 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bam Bam Again 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Flat White 10.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Himiko 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Provocation 1.60 2.1 4-1
3 3 Rather Nosy 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Miss Alegria 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 A Melis 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Andyoushallreceive 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dancing Dana 1.60 1.5 3-1
7 7 My Princess Ellie 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Big Mama Sue 5.00 4 7-1
5 5 Smooth Rithms 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mucha Woman 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Malibu Mistress 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Exchange Vows 10.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Savile Row 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Barraza 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 3 Affable 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 No Pedigree 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Star Sailor 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Santos to Wilson 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Vobiscum 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paladar 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 6 Claim of Passion 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Ronamo 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Polar Wind 4.00 3 6-1
4 3 Signofthecross 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Mongolian Legend 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Synthesis 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Bronn 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Whosmilingnow 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Pray for My Owner 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Great Curves 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Allie’s Pal 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ensleys Dream 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Our Miss Millie 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Michalska 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Streaming Tiger 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Mensa On Tap 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Betty Grable S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mo See Cal 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Warren’s Showtime 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Just Grazed Me 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Smiling Shirlee 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Nardini 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Miss Megan 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Hotitude 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sheza Girly Girl 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Independence Hall 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Pyron 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Anyportinastorm 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Grit and Curiosity 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 P R Radio Star 8.00 4 7-1
1 1 He’s the Reason 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Sparky Ville 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Manhattan Up 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Microrithms 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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