Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 8, 2020

November 8, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Never Surprised 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 6 Excellorator 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Venerable 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Maclyrical 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Coach P 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Rocco Strong 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Kentucky Knight 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Hipsky 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Ceant 1.80 1.8 3-1
7 6 Harlem Heights 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Baseline Drive 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Safari Queen 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Pythagorean 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Jazzy Lady 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Cherokee Song 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Simply Sweet 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fangirl 1.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Holmdel Park 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Dare to Try 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Queendom 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Left Leaning Lucy 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Trapped N My Mind 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Charlotte Webley 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Anydayisherday 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7A 7 Known Agenda 1.00 1.3 2-1
3A 3 Overtook 1.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Greatest Honour 1.20 2.1 4-1
5 5 Bellagio 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sono Grato 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lotsnlotsofchrome 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Ascending Moon 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Go Lime 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Blu Grotto 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cold Hearted Pearl 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Suz 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Stay Fond 1.40 3.3 6-1
2 2 Miss Loyalty 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Movie Score 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Offlee Irish 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Dirty Bird 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Zecha 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Peaches and Spice 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jade’s Dream 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 The Golden Door 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Neuro 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Bernardino 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Tackle 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 American Piper 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 A Vow of Beauty 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Hurricane Andrew 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Noble Mischief 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Key to Victory 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Jen’s Battle 6.00 2.2 4-1
2A 2 Cape Cod Diva 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Fresco 2.50 3.1 6-1
3A 3 Canarsie Angel 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Graetz 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Summer At the Spa 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Ancient Brown 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Screamin’ By 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Linda’s Ballet 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Imincomunicado 30.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Dragoness 50.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Flush 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Scarf It Down 4.00 2.7 5-1
11 9 Beach Access 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Pipes 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Shalako 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Playwright 5.00 3.4 6-1
14 10 Hardcore Folklore 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Orpheus (ARG) 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mills 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Financial Freedom 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Justin Front 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Currency Chrome 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Real Dan 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bridgetothefuture 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bobbyfromthepalm 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Nashua S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nova Rags 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Pickin’ Time 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Ten for Ten 1.20 2.7 5-1
5 5 Isolate 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Spectatorless 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Irish Honor 30.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Civil War 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Little Dutch Girl 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 U Should B Dancing 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Stella Mars 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Violentiam 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Kreesa La Wrote 8.00 3.9 7-1
12 11 The Promised Road 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Gun Hill Girl 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Azogar 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Quiet Type 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Empires First Lady 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Captivating Cara 30.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Early Edition 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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