Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 7, 2020

November 7, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tappahannock 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 I’ll Make U Famous 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Jack Bo 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Cooke Brothers 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Greek Prince 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Alphastest 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Appraised 2.50 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Queen Karma 20.00 2 4-1
9 9 Love Is Strong 15.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 My Way Or Else 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Dragon Lily 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Chitu’s Beauty 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Twice Served 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Sublimity 2.50 7.8 15-1
6 6 Lookin Back 3.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Magic Election 2.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Belmullet 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Championship Alley 3.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Bear Force Won 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 No Fooling Dude 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 B Determined 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Extremelyexclusive 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Big Tall Dawg 12.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cornetta’s Choice 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Bean Indiscreet 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Princess Pao 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Sing Along Suzy 6.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Gold Cadillac 15.00 2.1 4-1
13 13 Guilder 4.00 2.4 4-1
14 14 Not My Money 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Sea Story 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Dancing Til Dusk 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 A Ring Thing 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Pavla’s Mission 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dixie’s Fascinator 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Smart Entry 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Indehere 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Imagine Victory 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Warrior’s Blade 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Alpha Queue 12.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Doubleoseven 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Alwaysinahurry 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Palatial Times 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Tate 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Pensamiento 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Fast Draw Kid 5.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mikey’s Jewel 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Hello Gracie 5.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 She’s On Point 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Flyin It 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Joyful Jill 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Aunt Mary 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Mit Mazel 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Lucky Lorraine 3.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 Downtown Katie 20.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Acadian Girl 15.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fort Royal 6.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Iwishiwaspecial 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Town Policy 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Day the Music Died 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Team Tim 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Correjon 15.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Proud Enough 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Time Flies By 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 The Forty Factor 20.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Smart Step 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Somekindofmagician 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Trifor Gold 15.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 The Poser 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Up Against It 15.00 2.6 5-1
16 16 Market Mover 15.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Closer Look 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Air Token 10.00 3 6-1
12 12 Kamehameha 30.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Threethehardway 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Super E 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Broker’s Reward 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Beltway Bob 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Seville Barber 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dundalk 1.60 SCRATCH
14 14 Bay Bridge 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sadler Bay 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ghost On a Mission 1.40 1.2 2-1
5 5 Back Charge 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 If I Could Run 10.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Milardo 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Summer Somewhere 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Drink More Bourbon 12.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Red Hood 20.00 2 4-1
4 4 Maximo Strong 30.00 2.3 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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