Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 7, 2020

November 7, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Anaconda 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Top Gunner 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Waraire 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Deuce 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 McWherter 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Leme At Em 8.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Madame Barbarian 2.50 2 4-1
2 1 Take a Leap 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 5 Uno Trouble Maker 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 2 Eternal Endeavour (GB) 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 3 Sturdy One 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lake Time 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Red Livy (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Metarose 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Big Award 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 7 Complete Control 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 Luxury Liner 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Keep Your Coil 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Supernova Wildcat 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 5 Military Princess 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Steinway 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ms Big 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Silardi 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hidden Promise 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 6 Johnny Podres 5.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Restoring Dreams 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Cartellate 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Strike It Lucky 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Antithetical 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rager 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Prince Ricky 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frosteria 1.80 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lunatic 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Moonlight d’Oro 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Nasreddine 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Agreetodisagree 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Fracing Fast 12.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Ghostly Gal 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Helen Marie 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Mama Superior 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Dr. Troutman 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Irish Heatwave 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Masteroffoxhounds 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Vantastic 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Via Egnatia 6.00 4 8-1
9 7 Respect the Hustle 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 5 M Town Gem 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Comradery (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Whooping Jay 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ascot Storm 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Positivity 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Touchdown Brown 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Good With People 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tacoflavoredkisses 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Me Likey 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Play Chicken 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Doc Adams 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Finding Silver 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Magical Gray 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Watch Me Burn 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Queen of the Track 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Miss Fia 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Cheap Cheap Cheap 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 Acting Out 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Kookie Gal 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mischiffie (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Affianced 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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