Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 6, 2020

November 6, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Saratoga Bob 15.00 2 4-1
2 2 Marco Island 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Cerulean Springs 2.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Toughest ‘Ombre 1.80 5.4 10-1
4 4 Girls Love Me 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Futile 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Great Go Go 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Revolutionary Road 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Dragon Moon 3.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Thatwouldbegrand 4.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Wonder In 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Bazoo 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Candygramformongo 3.50 7.5 14-1
2 2 D C Fireman 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tuff But Fair 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Infinite Reward 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Buckey’s Charm 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Juror Number Four 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Unrequited Love 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Liv and Let Liv 3.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gottaflathaveher 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Silver Sides 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Petes Pride 20.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Polished Copper 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Deirdre of Legend 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Arbutus 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Parched Ghost 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Eighty Six Mets 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Persevered 20.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Silver Connection 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 True Shipman 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 More Thunder 12.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Compass Course 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Favor Maker 10.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Boss Life 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Little Bay 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Ricky Ricky 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Not Telling 20.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tempting Moment 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Good Luck Legacy 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Distant Thunder 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Booyakasha 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silent Malice 1.40 1.6 3-1
7 7 War Lance 30.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 McElmore Avenue 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Glorious Weekend 10.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Classy Solution 10.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Wind Ridge 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Bad Sueno 20.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Daper’s Drink 15.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Rum Bobby 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Stand My Ground 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Storm Risk 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Victory Time 30.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Kiss the Girl 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Combat Queen 2.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Odd Gal 3.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Fille d’Esprit 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Had the Notion 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Grand Skylark 20.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Two Shots 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Isle of Man 15.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Jolly Swagman 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Crying for More 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Firecall 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Super Houdini 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Ratify 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Galilean Moon 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 More Twirl 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Aliferous 10.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Strolled On By 10.00 2.4 5-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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