Sports from the Basement

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 6, 2020

November 6, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Nyquist S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Quick Tempo 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Highly Motivated 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 8 Saffa’s Day 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Roderick 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Awesome Gerry 6.00 4 8-1
7 6 Assertive Style 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Upstriker 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Sir Wellington 20.00 8.7 17-1
3 3 Twilight Blue 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Songbird S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 13 California Lily 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Off We Go 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Farsighted 5.00 4.5 9-1
13 12 Guana Cay 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 The Grass Is Blue 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Joy’s Rocket 4.50 5.7 11-1
15 14 Princesstapiture 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Novel Squall 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Music City Star 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Lady Edith 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Thinking 15.00 7.8 15-1
12 11 Kela’s Turn 10.00 8 15-1
8 7 Taylor’s Tourist 15.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Mona Stella 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Roc’s Princess 30.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bryan Station S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fancy Liquor 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 No Word 5.00 5.7 11-1
13 11 Don Juan Kitten 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Pixelate 8.00 6 11-1
11 9 Mo Ready 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Enforceable 10.00 7.8 15-1
10 8 Reconvene 8.00 8.2 16-1
14 12 Bye Bye Melvin 8.00 8.8 17-1
16 14 Ever Dangerous 15.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Taishan 12.00 9.4 18-1
12 10 Fighting Seabee 10.00 9.8 19-1
8 8 Vanzzy 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Order of Australia (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
17 17 Mud Pie 20.00 SCRATCH
18 18 Bama Breeze 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Spanish Kingdom 15.00 10.7 20-1
15 13 Ajourneytofreedom 20.00 12.2 23-1
4 4 Angelus Warrior 15.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Mcconnell Springs S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Unique Factor 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Wildwood’s Beauty 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Amy’s Challenge 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Unholy Alliance 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Into Chocolate 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bye Bye J 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Royal Charlotte 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Headland 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Harmless 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Cupid’s Claws 5.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Plus Que Parfait 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Signalman 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Tenfold 5.00 4.3 8-1
14 14 Danny California 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ry’s the Guy 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 You’re to Blame 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Rocketry 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Farmington Road 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Militiaman 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Job Security 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Muralist 30.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Dack Janiel’s 30.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Mirinaque (ARG) 50.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 13 Golden Pal 1.60 3.1 6-1
9 8 After Five 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Bodenheimer 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Cowan 8.00 6.7 13-1
11 10 Into the Sunrise 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 County Final 15.00 8.9 17-1
12 11 Dirty Dangle 20.00 9.7 18-1
16 16 Gypsy King 20.00 SCRATCH
17 17 Trade Deal 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Amanzi Yimpilo (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Second of July 8.00 11 21-1
15 14 Blame the Booze 30.00 11.1 21-1
7 7 Momos 15.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Ubettabelieveit (IRE) 20.00 12.1 23-1
2 2 Windy City Red 30.00 13.1 25-1
3 3 Lipizzaner 20.00 14.6 28-1
1 1 Mighty Gurkha (IRE) 20.00 14.6 28-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Presented By Coolmore America

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Gretzky the Great 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mutasaabeq 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Fire At Will 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Outadore 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Abarta 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Cadillac (IRE) 6.00 8 15-1
9 9 Battleground 6.00 8 15-1
4 4 Public Sector (GB) 8.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Ebeko (IRE) 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Sealiway (FR) 8.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 New Mandate (IRE) 12.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Go Athletico (FR) 10.00 9.4 18-1
15 15 Barrister Tom 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Harlan Estate 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 The Lir Jet (IRE) 20.00 12.9 24-1
13 13 Devilwala (IRE) 30.00 15.8 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Princess Noor 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Vequist 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Simply Ravishing 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Dayoutoftheoffice 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Girl Daddy 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Thoughtfully 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Crazy Beautiful 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aunt Pearl (IRE) 3.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Campanelle (IRE) 4.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Royal Approval 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Plum Ali 4.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Madone 10.00 6.1 12-1
14 13 Editor At Large (IRE) 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Alda 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Miss Amulet (IRE) 12.00 8.1 15-1
12 11 Spanish Loveaffair 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Oodnadatta (IRE) 20.00 9 17-1
13 12 Union Gables 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Tetragonal (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Snowfall (JPN) 20.00 SCRATCH
15 14 Invincible Gal (GB) 30.00 10.7 20-1
8 7 Mother Earth (IRE) 20.00 11.3 21-1
6 6 Nazuna (IRE) 30.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tvg Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Classier 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Reinvestment Risk 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Essential Quality 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Jackie’s Warrior 1.40 5.2 10-1
13 13 Rombauer 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Likeable 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Next 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 King Fury 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Sittin On Go 12.00 8.4 16-1
14 14 Calibrate 20.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Dreamer’s Disease 30.00 9.8 18-1
6 6 Keepmeinmind 30.00 9.8 19-1
12 12 Hot Rod Charlie 30.00 9.8 19-1
1 1 Camp Hope 30.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Wednesday Parx Racing
Begins Wed, Dec 2 12:25 PM ET
Wednesday Gulfstream Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 12:35 PM ET
Wednesday Delta Downs
Begins Wed, Dec 2 1:55 PM ET
Wednesday Remington Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 8:07 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Europe - Champions League
56'
FC Porto 0
Manchester City 0
Details
Europe - Champions League
59'
Atlético Madrid 1
Bayern Munich 0
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Forest Green 1
Newport County 1
Details
Europe - Champions League
57'
Liverpool 0
Ajax 0
Details
NCAA Football
Final
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Charlotte 49ers
Details
England - Championship
72'
Bournemouth 1
Preston 3
Details
England - Championship
70'
QPR 1
Bristol City 2
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Colchester 1
Crawley Town 1
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Bradford 1
Cheltenham 2
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Grimsby 1
Exeter 4
Details
Go to Scoreboard