November 6, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Nyquist S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Quick Tempo | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highly Motivated | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Saffa’s Day | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roderick | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome Gerry | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Assertive Style | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Upstriker | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Wellington | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twilight Blue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Songbird S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 13 | California Lily | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Off We Go | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Farsighted | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Guana Cay | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Grass Is Blue | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joy’s Rocket | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Princesstapiture | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Novel Squall | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Music City Star | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Edith | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thinking | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kela’s Turn | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Taylor’s Tourist | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mona Stella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Roc’s Princess | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bryan Station S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Liquor | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Word | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Don Juan Kitten | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pixelate | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mo Ready | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enforceable | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Reconvene | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Bye Bye Melvin | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 14 | Ever Dangerous | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taishan | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Fighting Seabee | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vanzzy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Order of Australia (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Mud Pie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Bama Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Kingdom | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Ajourneytofreedom | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angelus Warrior | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Mcconnell Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unique Factor | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amy’s Challenge | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unholy Alliance | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Chocolate | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bye Bye J | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Charlotte | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Headland | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harmless | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Cupid’s Claws | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Plus Que Parfait | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Signalman | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tenfold | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Danny California | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ry’s the Guy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You’re to Blame | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocketry | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Farmington Road | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Militiaman | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Job Security | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muralist | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dack Janiel’s | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mirinaque (ARG) | 50.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 13 | Golden Pal | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | After Five | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bodenheimer | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cowan | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Into the Sunrise | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | County Final | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dirty Dangle | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Gypsy King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Trade Deal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amanzi Yimpilo (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Second of July | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Blame the Booze | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Momos | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ubettabelieveit (IRE) | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windy City Red | 30.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lipizzaner | 20.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Gurkha (IRE) | 20.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Presented By Coolmore America
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gretzky the Great | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mutasaabeq | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire At Will | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outadore | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abarta | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cadillac (IRE) | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Battleground | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Public Sector (GB) | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ebeko (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sealiway (FR) | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Mandate (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Go Athletico (FR) | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Barrister Tom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Harlan Estate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Lir Jet (IRE) | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Devilwala (IRE) | 30.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Princess Noor | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vequist | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Ravishing | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dayoutoftheoffice | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Daddy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thoughtfully | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Beautiful | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Pearl (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Campanelle (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Royal Approval | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Ali | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Madone | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Editor At Large (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alda | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Amulet (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Spanish Loveaffair | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oodnadatta (IRE) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Union Gables | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tetragonal (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Snowfall (JPN) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 14 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mother Earth (IRE) | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nazuna (IRE) | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tvg Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Classier | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reinvestment Risk | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Essential Quality | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie’s Warrior | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rombauer | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Likeable | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Next | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Fury | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sittin On Go | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Calibrate | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dreamer’s Disease | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keepmeinmind | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hot Rod Charlie | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Hope | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.