Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 4, 2020

November 4, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 A Gray for Carolyn 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mithra 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ajhar 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 2 Maine 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Prince Champ 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Tony From Ocala 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Factum Love Style 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Doddsprivatelabel 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Thomas Knight 4.50 4 7-1
9 9 King’s House 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Metaphorical 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Ironbound 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Draxhall Woods 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Shaft of Light 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Ask Chuck 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Colorado Grandslam 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 6 Ticked All Daboxes 2.50 1.3 2-1
10 8 Call Fitzroy 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Grays the Bar 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bullzilla 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Erin Go Braugh 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Comfortably Cool 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Marnesia One Step 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Wiseman’s Secret 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Rickie’s Melody 6.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 El Fenomeno 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 6 Willthisshipsail 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Vinaigrette 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Caseyoudidn’tknow 8.00 2.8 5-1
1A 1 Iwasbornawinner 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Scarfree 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Brownstoneprincess 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Deserted 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Valiant Spirit 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Frosty Friend 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 It’s a Shaw Thing 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jamie’s Wanderlust 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Our Dixie Blue 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Adhwaa 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Brooklyn Heights 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Big Brown Eyes 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Corbally 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Alice Helen 20.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 King Koa 2.50 1.7 3-1
2A 2 Late Breaking News 3.00 1.7 3-1
8A 7 Weather Wiz 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Moon Gate Warrior 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Grit’n’grind 6.00 4 8-1
10 8 Celtic Treasure 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Kingsville 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Haz a Notion 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Devine Dental 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Squan’s Kingdom 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Princess Palomar 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 6 Caramel Cream 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Galileo’s Affair 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Lolanita 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Colloquium 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 West Horizen 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 She’smyrisenstar 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Sweet Blame 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quality Choice 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Rock On Luke 1.60 2.3 4-1
8 8 Postino’s Vow 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Over Sensual 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Risque Rebel 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Flat Bill 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Democratic 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Peter G. Fox 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Getouttamyway 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Dreamer’s Moon 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 3 Wicked Awesome 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Dixie Serenade 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Hey Mamaluke 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Estilo Femenino 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Promised Storm 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bob’s My Uncle 3.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Grasshoppin 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Speed Syndrome 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Fist of Thor 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Tomater Gator 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Three Phase 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Armament 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Five More Minutes 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Asphalt Paving 10.00 6.2 12-1
11 10 Harpoon 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Guns of Steel 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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