November 1, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Great One | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parnelli | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spielberg | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allaboutthemoney | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolu | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feel the Berning | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Johan Zoffani (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keystone Field | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frasard (GB) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Path | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Direct Line | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On Easy Street | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juror | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Hoof Dynamite | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame It On Kitty | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonoverthebayou | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bitter Ring Home | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Race Home | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Happy Happy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cause and Effect | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gallovie (GB) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Freedom Lass | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goodtingscominpink | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Constantia | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Viazar | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Secret Square | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star of Africa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Misty At the Top | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Mountain | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chollima | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palm d’Oro | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Romance | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Riddle | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rickie Nine Toe’s | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moreavino | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Excess Coil | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leia Marie | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pizzazz | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ivy League | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Con | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Constantina | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Avisse | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nurturing | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Basil Flavor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fratelli | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Popular Kid | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Will Not | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Policy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizhotndusty | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shady Empire | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Barrel | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Offshore Affair | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Foothill | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cal’s Gem | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Agamemnon | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Let It Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heywoods Beach | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Margot’s Boy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dominant Soul | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lane Way | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strongconstitution | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jammers Justice | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goalie | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rookie Mistake | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lure Him In | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Leaving You | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Minoso | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Parker | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bedrock | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tromador | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Gronk | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Image | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Cheddar | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Next Flight | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nietzsche | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Surfside Sunset | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Gary | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | You’reright Again | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.