Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 31, 2020

October 31, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Olympic Romp 15.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Forloveofcountry 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Healing 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Americain Joey 15.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Bahama Channel 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kadesh 1.60 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gianna’s Gift 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 All Fact 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Stellar Stiletto 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Headfirst 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 I Dream of Lois 5.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Miss Pinkerton 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Double Down Britt 6.00 7 13-1
8 8 Northern Connect 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She Can’t Sing 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Zanadu 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Majestic Blend 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lady Anna 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Gerri B 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Mylastfirstkiss 6.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Turbo Drive 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Justinthenickotime 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Front Man 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sir Winsalot 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Bring Me a Check 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mishko 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Hombrazo 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Midnight Jostar 4.00 5 9-1
8 8 Mom Said Yes 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Lastchanceatglory 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Right Trappe 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Klayton’s Kandy 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Emmyrates 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 With Mischief 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Making Progress 4.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Polished Gem 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Binge Watch 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Time for Glory 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Timeless Curls 15.00 2.3 4-1
8A 7 High Regard 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Queen Nekia 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Goodbye Earl 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Istan Council 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Gold Standard 1.80 4 8-1
6 5 Aunt Hattie (IRE) 20.00 5 9-1
4A 4 Final Cut 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Dragon 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Jumper 20.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Kinenos 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bourbon in May 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Phantom Currency 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Peekacho 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Counter Offer 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Celerity 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Value Engineering 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hypernova 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Easy to Bless 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Milana 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Anoush 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Taqseemaat 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Amusing Antics 2.00 4 8-1
9 9 Little Blaze 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Minute Waltz 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Happy Success 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Fair Game 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Bold Figure 50.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rated R Superstar 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 M G Warrior 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Captivating Moon 5.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Plainsman 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Crafty Daddy 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Alkhaatam 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Endorsed 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Thirstforlife 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Fact Finding 4.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Sir Anthony 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Bourbon Calling 6.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Kiss Mo 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 2 Treaty of Paris 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 4 Twitterpated 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Conoloway 4.50 7.2 14-1
10 7 Better With Age 4.00 7.8 15-1
9 6 English 20.00 9.8 19-1
1 1 Demora 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Teller to Sing 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 A Kitten for Katie 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 La Croix Valmer 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Imbued 20.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Colonel Aby B 15.00 10.3 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Thursday Aqueduct
Begins Thu, Dec 3 12:20 PM ET
Thursday Gulfstream Park
Begins Thu, Dec 3 12:35 PM ET
Thursday Delta Downs
Begins Thu, Dec 3 1:55 PM ET
Thursday Fair Grounds
Begins Thu, Dec 3 2:00 PM ET
Thursday Remington Park
Begins Thu, Dec 3 8:07 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Sevilla 0
Chelsea 4
Details
NFL Football
Final
Baltimore Ravens 14
Pittsburgh Steelers 19
Details
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Dortmund 1
Lazio 1
Details
England - League One
Full Time
Hull City 2
Doncaster 1
Details
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Manchester United 1
PSG 3
Details
England - Championship
Full Time
Luton 3
Norwich 1
Details
England - Championship
Full Time
Middlesbrough 2
Swansea 1
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Carlisle Utd 2
Salford City 1
Details
England - League One
Full Time
AFC Wimbledon 2
Peterborough 1
Details
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Ferencvaros 0
FC Barcelona 3
Details
Go to Scoreboard