October 31, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Romp | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forloveofcountry | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Healing | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Americain Joey | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bahama Channel | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kadesh | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gianna’s Gift | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Fact | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Stiletto | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Headfirst | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Dream of Lois | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Pinkerton | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Down Britt | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Connect | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She Can’t Sing | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zanadu | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Blend | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Anna | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gerri B | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mylastfirstkiss | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Turbo Drive | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justinthenickotime | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Front Man | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Winsalot | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bring Me a Check | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mishko | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hombrazo | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Jostar | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mom Said Yes | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lastchanceatglory | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Right Trappe | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Klayton’s Kandy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emmyrates | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | With Mischief | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Making Progress | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polished Gem | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Binge Watch | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time for Glory | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Timeless Curls | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | High Regard | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Nekia | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodbye Earl | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Istan Council | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Standard | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aunt Hattie (IRE) | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Final Cut | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Dragon | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jumper | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinenos | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon in May | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phantom Currency | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peekacho | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Counter Offer | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celerity | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Value Engineering | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hypernova | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy to Bless | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Milana | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anoush | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taqseemaat | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amusing Antics | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Blaze | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Minute Waltz | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Success | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Game | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Figure | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rated R Superstar | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M G Warrior | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captivating Moon | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Plainsman | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crafty Daddy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alkhaatam | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Endorsed | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirstforlife | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fact Finding | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Anthony | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Calling | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Kiss Mo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Treaty of Paris | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Twitterpated | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Conoloway | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Better With Age | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | English | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Demora | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Teller to Sing | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | A Kitten for Katie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | La Croix Valmer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Imbued | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Colonel Aby B | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.