Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 30, 2020

October 30, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nepotism 1.40 1.6 3-1
1 1 Digital Future 1.60 1.6 3-1
6 6 Highway Bound 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Thruster 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Jailbreaker 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Magnificent Chrome 30.00 4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Unprecedented 3.50 5 9-1
12 6 Tiergan 10.00 5.4 10-1
13 7 Hard Count 6.00 5.6 11-1
11 5 Daring Disguise 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 2 Dubai Bobby 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 3 Beach Front 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Elusive Ruler 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Quid 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jake Rocks 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Officer Country 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ninja Dust 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Larceny 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 What’s to Blame 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Stanhope 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Coragescontender 10.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Pricing Exercise 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Well Kept Secret 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 Suspended Campaign 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 To the Tune 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Lucky Sitka 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Krubera 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Simple Sugar 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Madame Rose 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Thegoddessofsnakes 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Gray Destiny 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Frosted Bourbon 8.00 3.7 7-1
16 9 Ten Plagues 10.00 4 8-1
10 6 Mendham 4.00 4.1 8-1
12 7 Theatrical Dancer 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 3 Cara’s Dreamer 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 4 Emma and I 20.00 6.2 12-1
14 8 Adriatic Rose 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Duckphat 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Black Licorice 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Eau Claire 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Marvelous Maude 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tami’s Orchid 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mon Cherie 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Saluki 15.00 SCRATCH
9 5 Rosies Surprise 30.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vicar’s Legend 5.00 2.4 4-1
8 7 Wushu Warrior 2.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Orpheus (ARG) 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hardcore Folklore 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Deep Sea 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Ethan Hunt 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Our Honor 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Justin Front 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Professor Snape 50.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Eden Ridge 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wasp 0.60 1.3 2-1
6 6 Portofina 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bella Domenica 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Calidad 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tabula Rasa 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Lucky Girl 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Suggestive Honor (ARG) 12.00 3.6 7-1
13 7 Fiftyshays Ofgreen 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 1 My Sweet Wife 10.00 5.4 10-1
16 10 Solitary Gem 4.50 5.6 11-1
5 3 Lovely La La 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 4 Sweet Kisses 10.00 6.7 13-1
14 8 Bay Jewel 12.00 7.2 14-1
15 9 Big Bennys Tribute 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 2 Madam Maclean 15.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Kelleycanrun 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bean Counter 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mary’s France (FR) 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Hotsy Totsy (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 A Little Faith 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Una Luna 15.00 SCRATCH
10 6 Jasminesque 30.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flat Awesome Jenny 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 No Deal 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Glass Ceiling 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Jump for Joy 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Excess Capacity 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Dovey Lovey 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Blunt Force 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sirenic 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Cost Basis 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 Superfecto 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Wild Medagliad’oro 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Foolish Ghost 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Edge of Fire 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Chowda 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 The Sicarii 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Al Brown 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Speightful Kitten 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Binkster 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hard D S C 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 3 Tercero 2.50 3.7 7-1
12 6 Whichwaytomalibu 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 2 Judge Alexander 12.00 4.5 8-1
15 9 Open Lengths 6.00 4.6 9-1
14 8 Top of the Mint 3.50 4.6 9-1
16 10 Kingfish 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 4 Bielefeld 8.00 5.4 10-1
13 7 Starship Empire 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Freudian Analyst 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Yousaidhello 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hurricane Andrew 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Psychic Dream 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Spiritual King 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Empire Express 4.00 SCRATCH
10 5 Being Me 50.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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