Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 29, 2020

October 29, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ticker Tape Parade 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Americano 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Tambora 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Keeping the Peace 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Greeley’s Banker 2.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Higher Purpose 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mayfield of Dreams 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 McLucy 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Targe 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Miss Leslie 3.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Mischiefs Model 2.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Fearless Lassie 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 In Vain 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cowgirl Night 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Queen of Tomorrow 1.80 1.2 2-1
11 11 My Queen Michelle 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Pink Pearl 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Bethabara 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Pretti Xtreme 5.00 2.4 5-1
13 13 Le Petite Papillon 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Jaydine 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Three Quarter Time 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Classical Magic 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kailee (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Shoobiedoobydoo 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ebullient 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Petrichor 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Alleria 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tapit’s Girl 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Salamina 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Alwaysinmotion 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Fast Fashion 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 My Way Or Else 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Dare to Promise 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Moonsafe 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cue the Band 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Startwithabang 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gherardini 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Jungle Bride 6.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Our Bella Nicole 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Hey Babe 8.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Momentita 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Great Cause 20.00 2.5 5-1
15 15 Bella Bettina 6.00 2.5 5-1
16 16 Air Force Pink 20.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Chelsea Wall 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Flanigan’s Cove 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lisheen 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rose Gold 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Storybook Farm 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cajole 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Special Love 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fool Yourself 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Moonlight Shadow 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 7 Starinthemaking 4.50 1.4 3-1
10 11 Brutus 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Cause He’s Western 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 10 Divine Interventio 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Always Forgiven 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Linda’s Nekia 30.00 2.6 5-1
1A 9 Charging Lion 4.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Empty Nestr 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Sunman 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Moti 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Railmaster 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Rock the Comet 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Annamated Moon 8.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Ego Man 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Boondoggle 30.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Shackled 30.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Quarky 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Fair Catch 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Starry Messenger 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 The Third Secret 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 He’s One Wild Dude 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trellis 10.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Toma 2.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Sunday in L B C 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Princess Anne 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Gypsy Girl 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Don’tbaggagecheck 10.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Adabel 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Dogwood Queen 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Congress Hall 12.00 2.3 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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