Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 29, 2020

October 29, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fra Mauro 1.60 2.1 4-1
2 2 Substantial 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Handy 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Musical Man 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Beaver Hat 1.80 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Red Bottom Rebel 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ilha Do Mel 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Super Cat Lady 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Tizso Awesome 1.80 4.3 8-1
6 5 Grimpante 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Shesalittle Edgy 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Shahera Song 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tactician 1.60 1.4 3-1
2 2 Blankenbaker 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Maga Country 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Detective 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Count Your Pennies 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Carrier Pigeon 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Hex 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Iron Bull 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Above Board 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Overzealous 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Hooray for Harvey 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Tres Equis 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Landofthepharaohs 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Campioni 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Blue Steel 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Quicksilver 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Copley 2.50 1.6 3-1
10 8 Sir Acealot 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 2 Nip N Tuck 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 3 Waypoint 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 7 Payster 6.00 1.9 4-1
12 10 Big Sky Montana 12.00 3.8 7-1
11 9 Town Agenda 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Western Pharoah 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 4 Mr. Banyan 30.00 8.3 16-1
2 1 Happy Dash 30.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Grey Sloan 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Just a Irish Lad 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Guided Missile 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Alex Joon 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Attachment Rate 1.40 2.1 4-1
2 2 Luna’s in Charge 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Distorted Moon 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 One Nation 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Glory Road 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Train to Artemus 4.00 1.4 3-1
9 6 Santa Rita 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 5 Impeach Me 4.50 2.1 4-1
14 10 Joy of Painting 5.00 4.8 9-1
15 11 Imperial Moon 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Double Dare You 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Playfulmisssamurai 20.00 5.8 11-1
12 9 Sugar Diva 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Cuzzywuzzy 3.50 7.3 14-1
11 8 Thundering Creed 20.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Bee Fast 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blossom Road 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Risky Reward 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Illegal Smile (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH
10 7 Tiz a Bit Lucky 30.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 A. P. Princess 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Cardamon 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Diamond Crazy 3.00 3 6-1
6 4 Zusha 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Club Car 2.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Bye Bye Bertie 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Regal Retort 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Sharecropper 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 4 Nepal Up 20.00 4.5 9-1
15 7 Original Intent 10.00 6.2 12-1
11 6 Cibolian 8.00 6.4 12-1
1A 8 Claytnthelionheart 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 3 Fortuity 10.00 7 13-1
10 5 Kentucky Ghost 4.00 9.5 18-1
1 9 Botswana Taps 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Prefect 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Hellorhighwater 4.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Bluegrass Parkway 3.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Midnight Jostar 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Take Charge d’Oro 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Queens Empire (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 World Tax War (IRE) 30.00 SCRATCH
6 2 El Ahijado 30.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 New Eagle 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Town Drunk 4.50 2.1 4-1
13 10 Pradar 12.00 2.4 5-1
12 9 Uncle Gregory 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Baozun 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Rayo de Luz 4.50 6 11-1
3 3 Rock On Kitten 15.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Mr. Mutadda 15.00 8.7 16-1
10 8 Praise Be to God 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Twinkling Knight 50.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 New Year’s Luck 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Feeling It 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Martial Eagle 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Derby City 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Thursday Aqueduct
Begins Thu, Dec 3 12:20 PM ET
Thursday Gulfstream Park
Begins Thu, Dec 3 12:35 PM ET
Thursday Delta Downs
Begins Thu, Dec 3 1:55 PM ET
Thursday Fair Grounds
Begins Thu, Dec 3 2:00 PM ET
Thursday Remington Park
Begins Thu, Dec 3 8:07 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Sevilla 0
Chelsea 4
Details
NFL Football
Final
Baltimore Ravens 14
Pittsburgh Steelers 19
Details
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Dortmund 1
Lazio 1
Details
England - League One
Full Time
Hull City 2
Doncaster 1
Details
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Manchester United 1
PSG 3
Details
England - Championship
Full Time
Luton 3
Norwich 1
Details
England - Championship
Full Time
Middlesbrough 2
Swansea 1
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Carlisle Utd 2
Salford City 1
Details
England - League One
Full Time
AFC Wimbledon 2
Peterborough 1
Details
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Ferencvaros 0
FC Barcelona 3
Details
Go to Scoreboard