Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 29, 2020

October 29, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Allured 2.00 2 4-1
5 4 Mr. Shortandsimple 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Latin Love Bug 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Microscope 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 King of American 30.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Fried Rice King 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Storm Shooter 3.00 2.9 6-1
13 7 Reunion Tour 4.00 3.3 6-1
14 8 One Whirlwind Ride 5.00 3.8 7-1
12 6 Another Shot 8.00 4 8-1
3 2 Noble Journey 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 4 Dante’s Map 15.00 5.6 11-1
15 9 Panster 2.50 6.1 11-1
2 1 Dreampoint 12.00 6.2 12-1
16 10 In the Zone 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Prince Orb 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Danzigwiththestars 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Stone Crazed 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Boss Bear 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Halpert 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 On Our Way Boyz 30.00 SCRATCH
11 5 Production Credit 30.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Madera 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Buyer’s Remorse 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Hot Button 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Wishes and Dreams 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Please 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Sander’s Empire 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Queentigua 30.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sweet Breeze 50.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 6 Vineyard Sound 3.50 3.2 6-1
12 4 Home Run Maker 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 3 McErin 8.00 3.8 7-1
15 7 Skyler’s Scramjet 5.00 3.9 7-1
13 5 Hawaiian Noises 15.00 6.4 12-1
1A 1 Another 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Durkin’s Call 30.00 9 17-1
3 3 Duncastle 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pagliacci 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 New York’s Finest 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kitten’s Cat 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Shiraz 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 War Stroll 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Honey Won’t 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Like What I See 12.00 SCRATCH
16A 16 Jump for Joy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Forgotten Hero 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Awesome Alana 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Jc’s Shooting Star 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Bustin to Please 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Sweet Meadow Mist 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Gentle Annie 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Dirty Bird 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Fair Lassie 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Zecha 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Bischofberger 3.50 1.6 3-1
12 9 I Got a Secret 6.00 2.9 6-1
14 11 Tenderfoot 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Prince of Caps 4.00 4.8 9-1
15 12 My First Grammy 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Amistad 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Lil Jojo 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 7 Bold Gem 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Confectioner 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 1 Inappropriate 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Justintimeforwine 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Souper Energizer 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Makoto 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Camouflaged Kisser 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Commissioner G 8.00 SCRATCH
13 10 Seediskid 30.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tactical Move 1.60 1.1 2-1
6 6 Undine 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Seaside Retreat 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Risk Model 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Barista Vixen 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Malibu Anthem 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 3 Mo Maverick 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 1 Wicked Trick 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 2 Chewing Gum 3.00 3.3 6-1
14 6 Absentee 8.00 3.6 7-1
13 5 Wendell Fong 3.50 3.7 7-1
10 4 Battle Station 8.00 5.5 10-1
1A 1 Shekky Shebaz 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 True Valour (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 White Flag 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Spikes Shirl 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sayyaaf 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dubini 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Backtohisroots 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lonhtwist 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hurricane Breeze 2.00 3 6-1
16 8 Girardi 3.50 3.5 7-1
14 6 Classy Sadie 6.00 3.6 7-1
13 5 Make Or Break 3.00 3.6 7-1
15 7 Stunning Munnings 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 3 Big Al’s Gal 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 4 Trapped N My Mind 30.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Appreciate 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Marquet Legacy 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ava K’s Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Itsakeyper 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Abby Normal 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Corey Scores 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Zip It Jess 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Alley to Calvary 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Miss Circular Gal 50.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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