October 24, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Dance | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flame Zapper | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Victory | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Voltamour | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lomaki Force | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pitching Fast | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hell Bent | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In Pursuit | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Hat Boss | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vesperanza | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Frame This | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play It Smart | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Corsage | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smirk N Swagger | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Born to Be Good | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Red Dancer | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Driver | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alittleirishluck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Uno Champ | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lauderdale | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suitedconnected | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Boy | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | San Nicola Brew | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fright Night | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoological | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Am Prepared | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hard n’Sweet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ice Challenge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Coconut Grove | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Excelling | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Raven’s Song | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Karakontie Flyer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Passage | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Playing | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Got Rocks | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cara Caterina | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Munny | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Dragon | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Affair | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lots to Like | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | State Crown | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love in the Air | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diamond Ore | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spirit Dance | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Road to Romance | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Floki | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Hill | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Careless Heiress | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Overstate | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hazelbrook | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jojomar | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Jewel | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heehaa | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Last Endeavor | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Infamous Covert | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | First Prince | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Malibu Mandate | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Diamondback | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ticket to Alaska | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forgotten Treasure | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pool Side | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liverpool Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jocularity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Royal Bourbon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jeanie B (GB) | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Say Hey (FR) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Seal | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Quality | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holyanna | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Peace | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Vision | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | West Paw | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Express Banking | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Super Patriotic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Western Curl | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eyeinthesky | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nantucket Red | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hell N Wild | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charmaine’s Mia | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Figura | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fact Checking | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fresh Dreams | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Bonnie | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gamble’s Candy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Uproar | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jlohr Jan | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Freedom Machine | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dictate | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Letter Roll | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Smarty Illusion | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Above the Line | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Icanceeclearlynow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dear One | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Super Jade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shanghai Bound | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Itskathiesluckyday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | English Conqueror | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mighty Heart | 1.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Belichick | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Muskoka Giant | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Told It All | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Deviant | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Glorious Tribute | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clayton | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meyer | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enchant Me | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kunal | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Olliemyboy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | You Cant Catch Her | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Merino Wool | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Twomanyshots | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | This Round’s Mine | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | French Charm | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Speed | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Could Be Fate | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Savvy’s Sister | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My Final Trick | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheekylicious | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mustn’t Grumble | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Delly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Justcall Me Candy | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheetahra | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Senorita Uno | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.