Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 24, 2020

October 24, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Phantom Dance 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Flame Zapper 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Bold Victory 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Voltamour 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lomaki Force 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Pitching Fast 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 Hell Bent 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 In Pursuit 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Top Hat Boss 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Vesperanza 3.50 4.3 8-1
11 10 Frame This 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Play It Smart 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lost Corsage 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Smirk N Swagger 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Born to Be Good 10.00 7.7 15-1
10 9 Red Dancer 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Baby Driver 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Alittleirishluck 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Uno Champ 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lauderdale 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Suitedconnected 2.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Kitten’s Boy 3.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 San Nicola Brew 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Fright Night 4.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Zoological 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Am Prepared 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Itstartswithadrink 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hard n’Sweet 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ice Challenge 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Coconut Grove 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Excelling 4.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Raven’s Song 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Karakontie Flyer 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Northern Passage 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Just Playing 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mrs. Got Rocks 8.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Cara Caterina 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Smart Munny 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Sky Dragon 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Tiz Affair 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Lots to Like 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 State Crown 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Love in the Air 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Diamond Ore 6.00 3 6-1
7 6 Spirit Dance 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Road to Romance 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Miss Floki 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Gospel Hill 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Careless Heiress 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Overstate 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Hazelbrook 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jojomar 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Dr. Jewel 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Heehaa 5.00 5.1 10-1
11 9 Last Endeavor 4.00 5.9 11-1
13 11 Infamous Covert 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 7 First Prince 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 8 Malibu Mandate 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 6 Diamondback 20.00 8.6 16-1
12 10 Ticket to Alaska 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 5 Forgotten Treasure 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Pool Side 20.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Liverpool Man 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jocularity 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Royal Bourbon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jeanie B (GB) 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 Say Hey (FR) 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Grey Seal 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 All Quality 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Holyanna 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Eternal Peace 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Golden Vision 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 West Paw 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Express Banking 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Super Patriotic 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Western Curl 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Eyeinthesky 1.80 3 6-1
2 2 Nantucket Red 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Hell N Wild 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Charmaine’s Mia 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Bella Figura 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Fact Checking 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Fresh Dreams 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Broadway Bonnie 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Gamble’s Candy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Sweet Uproar 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jlohr Jan 2.00 4.9 9-1
8 6 Freedom Machine 3.00 5 9-1
2 2 Dictate 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Letter Roll 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 5 Smarty Illusion 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 7 Above the Line 12.00 8 15-1
3 3 Icanceeclearlynow 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dear One 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Super Jade 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Shanghai Bound 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Itskathiesluckyday 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Breeders’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 English Conqueror 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Mighty Heart 1.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Belichick 3.50 4.8 9-1
12 11 Muskoka Giant 20.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Told It All 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Deviant 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Glorious Tribute 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Clayton 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Meyer 30.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Enchant Me 50.00 8.3 16-1
10 9 Kunal 50.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Olliemyboy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 You Cant Catch Her 3.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Merino Wool 10.00 6.1 12-1
12 11 Twomanyshots 12.00 6.6 13-1
10 9 This Round’s Mine 8.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 French Charm 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Eight Speed 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Could Be Fate 8.00 8 15-1
13 12 Savvy’s Sister 10.00 8.1 15-1
11 10 My Final Trick 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Cheekylicious 30.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Mustn’t Grumble 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Delly 20.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Justcall Me Candy 20.00 10.3 20-1
3 3 Cheetahra 30.00 11.1 21-1
7 7 Senorita Uno 30.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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