Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 24, 2020

October 24, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Passionate Reward 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 One Flew South 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Undeniable Proof 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Brickyard Ride 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Thanks Mr. Eidson 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Octopus 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Chipper 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Zero Down 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Secret Club 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Curry 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Tallemark 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tough to Break 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tiz Vicious 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Holden the Lute 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Pelican Way 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Prince Magician 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Candy Fury 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Defense Wins 2.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Superstition 1.80 1.3 3-1
1 1 Fierce for Sul 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Vegas Palm 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 La V. 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Nu Pi Lambda 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Lookin So Lucky 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Order and Law 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 King of Speed 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 2 Pepe Tono 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Unbroken Star 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Potantico 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Stiff 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Three Ay Em 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Go Daddy Go 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Irish Heatwave 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tripoli 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Royal Act 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Storm the Bastille (FR) 12.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Magnolia’s Hope 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Malibu Cat 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Blazing Charm 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 La Rosa Drive 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Happy Trails 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Andyoushallreceive 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Senator Ken Maddy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jo Jo Air 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Aqua Seaform Shame 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Biddy Duke 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 An Eddie Surprise 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Lakerball 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Magic At Midnight 1.80 4.4 8-1
7 7 Zee Drop 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 North Pole 1.80 1.2 2-1
2 2 Kennebec 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Go On 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 First Class Dad 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Man Friday 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Classier 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Union Soldier 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Willy the Cobbler 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Royal Orb 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mithqaal 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Shadow Sphinx 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Erotic 8.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Grand Meister 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Worthy Turk 4.00 6 11-1
3 3 Truth Seeker 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Acker 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Move Over (GB) 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Contagion 20.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Swamp Souffle 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Silver Summer 12.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Smileforme 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 New Year 30.00 12.1 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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