October 24, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Passionate Reward | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Flew South | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Undeniable Proof | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brickyard Ride | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Octopus | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Chipper | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zero Down | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Club | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Curry | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tallemark | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tough to Break | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Vicious | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holden the Lute | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pelican Way | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Magician | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Fury | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defense Wins | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Superstition | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fierce for Sul | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Palm | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La V. | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nu Pi Lambda | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin So Lucky | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Order and Law | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Speed | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pepe Tono | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unbroken Star | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Potantico | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Stiff | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Ay Em | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Daddy Go | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Heatwave | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tripoli | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Act | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Magnolia’s Hope | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Cat | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Charm | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Rosa Drive | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Trails | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andyoushallreceive | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Senator Ken Maddy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jo Jo Air | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Biddy Duke | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | An Eddie Surprise | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lakerball | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic At Midnight | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zee Drop | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | North Pole | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kennebec | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go On | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Class Dad | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man Friday | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classier | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Soldier | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Willy the Cobbler | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Orb | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mithqaal | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shadow Sphinx | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erotic | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grand Meister | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worthy Turk | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Seeker | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Acker | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Move Over (GB) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Contagion | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swamp Souffle | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Summer | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Smileforme | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | New Year | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.