October 24, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Swashbuckle | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vodka Lemonade | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Lucky Devil | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Humpday | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cotton | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ruse | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devious Mo | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrowheart | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mambonick | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Grits | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bohemian Ruby | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be Yourself | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Iwo Jima | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dustgetsinyoureyes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Noble Journey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Re Created | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Maid Of The Mist S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Frost Me | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Party At Page’s | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chasing Cara | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mashnee Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Infringement | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laobanonaprayer | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cara’s Dreamer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Sleepy Hollow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Breadman | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hold the Salsa | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Masked Marauder | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brooklyn Strong | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eagle Orb | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Bear | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Workout | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Ticonderoga S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wegetsdamunnys | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Canoe | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myhartblongstodady | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Niko’s Dream | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Short Pour | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pecatonica | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Home for Christmas | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Time Lady | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | A Life That’s Good | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B C Belle | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Clever | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caumsett | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | No Payne | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | U Should B Dancing | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Melissa | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Constitutionalrage | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quashana | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Athena Dancer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Love’s Misery | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rosey’s Peach | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Chilly Choos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Empire Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Move | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Orb | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Critical Value | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makingcents | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ratajkowski | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Singular Sensation | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Changed | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hudson H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arthur’s Hope | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Engine | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribecca | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Bombastic | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dugout | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Morning Breez | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Ghost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | My Boy Tate | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | T Loves a Fight | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mohawk S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Dot Matrix | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cross Border | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Somelikeithotbrown | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rinaldi | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Therapist | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sanctuary City | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Division | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Opt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Iroquois S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Newly Minted | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fair Regis | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Officer Hutchy | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prairie Fire | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Timely Tradition | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spin a Yarn | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bertranda | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Espresso Shot | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Roxy Girl | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collegeville Girl | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Empire Classic H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sea Foam | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bankit | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mr. Buff | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Funny Guy | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chestertown | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Evaluator | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Winston’s Chance | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Last Buck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Advanced Strategy | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle George | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smite | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Outlaws | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Impazible Odds | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steelersfanforlife | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | On the Couch | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Wonder | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | False Alarm | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Generalonamission | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Starry Messenger | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unrelenting Force | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Big Thicket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.