Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 23, 2020

October 23, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Post to Post 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 La Paquita 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Carolina Grace 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Clairessence 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 A Little Voodoo 1.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 What’s In A Kiss (IRE) 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 I Look Incredible 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Silent Charity 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Classy Vision 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kid’s Mischief 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 7 Colton’s Corner 6.00 4.5 9-1
13 10 Call Me Wally 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 King and His Court 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Badjeros Boy 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Gorgeous Kitten 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Occasional View 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Epilogue 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 9 Fritzie’s Boy 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Captain Sidney 30.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Silent Jet 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kaigun 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Other Things Equal 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flashymeister 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Willy’s Castle 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Four Knights 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Moon Over Montana 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 First Spring 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Fire for Effect 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Street Legal 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Giant Mine 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Follow My Lead 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 R U Watchingbud 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Queen Licia 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Due North 6.00 2.6 5-1
12 10 Don’t Smile Lilah 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 City Fashion 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Redhair N Freckles 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Mahone Bay 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Solitude Is Bliss 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Aventura Traviesa 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Shishka 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Exquise 20.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Boscobel 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Audition 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Lester Murphy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silver Smoke 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Maximus Momentus 3.00 3 6-1
11 11 Alpha Beta Gama 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Took a Wrong Turn 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Galvaston 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Tiz Romantic 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Red River Rebel 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Candy Overload 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Coltons Dream 12.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Lyrical Gangster 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Rookie Radar 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Virreinato 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Real Coal 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Mizzona 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Twirling Wind 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Sparkle Sammy 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Fresh Princess 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Big Mistake 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Ever So d’Wild 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Summerland 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Rosiejewel Dancer 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sweet Briar Too S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Painting 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 6 Souper Escape 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Summer Sunday 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 5 Amalfi Coast 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 7 Victory Kingdom (AUS) 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 O’Keeffe 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 4 Magic Spell 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Fair Maiden 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Nantucket Red 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Strate Remark 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Tale of Vienna 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Fafa Fooey 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Slip Kid 2.50 4 8-1
11 11 Cat Zapper 10.00 4.7 9-1
13 13 Kissoffire (IRE) 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Goodoldhockeygame 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Butterfly Strike 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Be the Change 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 I Idolize You 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Two Timing 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Who’s Got It 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Tinker Ring 30.00 9.3 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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