October 23, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Post to Post | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Paquita | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carolina Grace | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clairessence | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Little Voodoo | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What’s In A Kiss (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Look Incredible | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Charity | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Vision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kid’s Mischief | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Colton’s Corner | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Call Me Wally | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King and His Court | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Badjeros Boy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gorgeous Kitten | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Occasional View | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Epilogue | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fritzie’s Boy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Sidney | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Jet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kaigun | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Other Things Equal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flashymeister | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willy’s Castle | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Four Knights | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Over Montana | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Spring | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fire for Effect | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Street Legal | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Mine | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Follow My Lead | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R U Watchingbud | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Queen Licia | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Due North | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | City Fashion | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Redhair N Freckles | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mahone Bay | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solitude Is Bliss | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aventura Traviesa | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shishka | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exquise | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boscobel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Audition | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Lester Murphy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silver Smoke | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximus Momentus | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alpha Beta Gama | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Took a Wrong Turn | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galvaston | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Romantic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red River Rebel | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Overload | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coltons Dream | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lyrical Gangster | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rookie Radar | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Virreinato | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Real Coal | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzona | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Twirling Wind | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sparkle Sammy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fresh Princess | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Mistake | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ever So d’Wild | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summerland | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rosiejewel Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sweet Briar Too S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Painting | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Souper Escape | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Summer Sunday | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Amalfi Coast | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Victory Kingdom (AUS) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | O’Keeffe | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Magic Spell | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Maiden | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nantucket Red | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Strate Remark | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Vienna | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fafa Fooey | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slip Kid | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cat Zapper | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kissoffire (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodoldhockeygame | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Butterfly Strike | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be the Change | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Idolize You | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Two Timing | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Who’s Got It | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tinker Ring | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.