October 23, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | My Princess Ellie | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Chick | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Take Her Temp | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m All the Jedi | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Phlox | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Pure Grace | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brewed Big | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Flash Magic | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beautiful Gift | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hatshepsut | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Quest | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Park Avenue | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ronamo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Rage | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rip City | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Easy | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberal (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Troutman | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ishka Baja | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Ice | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commas Save Lives | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Memorable | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Saylee | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Supernova Wildcat | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | First Prez | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | N. K. Rocket Man | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Count Alexei | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Squared Straight | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Master Ryan | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River North | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Clutch | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Next Revolt | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gryffindor | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bam Again | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conte Cavour | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show Business | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Etterbay Ucklay | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodega | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hurley | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kittyhawk Lass | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lucky Peridot | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clearly Gone | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nice Ice | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Velvet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Posterize | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shane Zain | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vander Kelen | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camby | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oil Can Knight | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Littlebitamedal | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flag Salute | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Westward Breeze | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Squared Shady | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Little Tiger | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Rebekah | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Rub It | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mensa On Tap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Allie’s Pal | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sircat Nelly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Princess Sadie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Keep Your Coil | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Careless Star | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.