Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 22, 2020

October 22, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paz the Wine 15.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Missimard 15.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Stay Out 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Gottaflathaveher 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Voila Baby 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Fille d’Esprit 1.80 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Belief Cure 30.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Yeyetzi 30.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Orbette 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Miss Old Bay 20.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Imagine Victory 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Belly Flop 12.00 6.6 12-1
14 14 Old Line Magic 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Sing Along Suzy 8.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Conga in Paris 10.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Hickory Made 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ms. Haiti 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bodemax 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Indehere 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sea Story 5.00 11.3 21-1
7 7 Perfect Kind 2.50 12.1 23-1
5 5 Whispurring Kitten 3.00 14.1 27-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pago Querido 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Peace With Honor 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Bonkers 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Back Roads 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Crazy Good 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Dance for the Gold 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Rona 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Sand in My Shoes 20.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 13 Jamminwithbrandon 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 5 Bellarmine Hall 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Absalom 15.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Backwoods Boogie 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Make a Stand 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Sarasota Boy 15.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Thatwouldbegrand 15.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Daddy’s Cozy 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Kinetic Swagger 15.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Closer Look 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Walk Away Joe 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gemo Rain 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 The Quantico Kid 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Whiskey and Rye 1.40 1.2 2-1
2 2 Prodigy Doll 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Game Theory 15.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Miss Wild 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Brewster Flats 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Kewpie Doll 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Lazarette 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unidentified Man 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Filigree 5.00 1.4 3-1
14 14 High Limit Room 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 You Are Awesome 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Delaware Destroyer 15.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Gallant George 4.50 2.3 4-1
12 12 Ardanwood 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Indefatigable 15.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Virginia Fib 20.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Town of Gold 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Crack the Safe 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Wicked Prankster 10.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Golden Gulley 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dance Pants 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Trial Balance 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 The Big K 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Toughest ‘Ombre 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Unmatchable 8.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Forevamo 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Galerio 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Thundershook 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Big City Bob 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Rough Sea 5.00 1.8 3-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Thegoodmind (IRE) 12.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Gale 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Gifted Talent 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Play Charades 30.00 2 4-1
1 1 Begonia 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Amplio Esquema 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Along the Way 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Tale Lights 15.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Slime Queen 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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