October 22, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paz the Wine | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missimard | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Out | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gottaflathaveher | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Voila Baby | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fille d’Esprit | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Belief Cure | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yeyetzi | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Orbette | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Old Bay | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Imagine Victory | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belly Flop | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Old Line Magic | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sing Along Suzy | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Conga in Paris | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hickory Made | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ms. Haiti | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bodemax | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Indehere | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sea Story | 5.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Kind | 2.50 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whispurring Kitten | 3.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pago Querido | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peace With Honor | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonkers | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back Roads | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Good | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dance for the Gold | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rona | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sand in My Shoes | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 13 | Jamminwithbrandon | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Bellarmine Hall | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Absalom | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Backwoods Boogie | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Make a Stand | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sarasota Boy | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thatwouldbegrand | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daddy’s Cozy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kinetic Swagger | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Closer Look | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Walk Away Joe | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gemo Rain | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Quantico Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey and Rye | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prodigy Doll | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Game Theory | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Wild | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brewster Flats | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kewpie Doll | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lazarette | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unidentified Man | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Filigree | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | High Limit Room | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You Are Awesome | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delaware Destroyer | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gallant George | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ardanwood | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indefatigable | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Virginia Fib | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Town of Gold | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crack the Safe | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Prankster | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Gulley | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dance Pants | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Trial Balance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | The Big K | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unmatchable | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forevamo | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galerio | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thundershook | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Bob | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rough Sea | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thegoodmind (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gale | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gifted Talent | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Play Charades | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Begonia | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amplio Esquema | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Along the Way | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tale Lights | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slime Queen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.