October 22, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Nutzforboltz | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ghost Giant | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr. Shane | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pipes | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch a Cab | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honorable Hero | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hit It Once More | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Dark Money | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Just Right | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | I Love Jaxson | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saratoga Pal | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freedom Force | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Boy Mo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Advance Notice | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Built | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Lime | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Risky Mischief | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Vip Nation | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Purrageous Dyna | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fierce Lady | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Elegant Zip | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puffery | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cathy Naz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Merlins Muse | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Me and Mr. C | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talking | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Doubly Blessed | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oceans Map | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dynadrive | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Creative Plan | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arithmetic | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fed Funds | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blood Moon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Market Impact | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Joint and Several | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kickin’ Kirby | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kith | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warfront Fighter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Sunshine | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayern’s Mirage | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ceant | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sengekontacket | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Berenice | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All American Dream | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Apurate | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | This Just In | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Rosalie (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Look Me Over | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Simply Sweet | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dynamax Prime | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Ramsey | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Control Group | 1.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammerin Aamer | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Attentive | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Lincoln | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | Zarkallani (FR) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Sentry | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Ballagh Rocks | 0.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Winning Factor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Abiding Star | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Soulmate | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winston’s Chance | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Expert | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dark Storm | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King’s Honor (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Z’finale | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Selfmade | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silver Token | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Noble Mischief | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Key to Victory | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Supply Sider | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Starship Empire | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Palace | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hurricane Andrew | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingfish | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Justintimeforwine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Open Lengths | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.