October 18, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Honos Man | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Montana Moon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Seeking Refuge | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sly | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bench Judge | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Babael | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Single Me Out | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Next Flight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Angel of Freedom | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Himiko | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | As Time Goes By | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mo’ Licious | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mojo Mama | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mulligan | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucia’s Design | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boomchicaboom | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kalliniki | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses and Candy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Florentine Diamond | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quality Line | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilshire Dude | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Jones | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paynter’s Boy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outlaw | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Provost | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Port Saint Joe | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Much More Halo | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inch | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Witch’s Vow | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deuce | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gate Speed | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Natural History | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bronn | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Handsome Cat | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Suances Secret | 50.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Call You Tomorrow | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Finish | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dim Lights | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Fraulein | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Gigi | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acai | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Norma’s Love | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Savvy Gal | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Breakfast Ball | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vegan | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Galaxy | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Anoakia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Queengol | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Caraway | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Illumination | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kalypso | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Needless to Say | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Twilight Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Farmington Road | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Express Train | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scarto | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Field Pass | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Like Strait | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Margot’s Boy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K P All Systems Go | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dominant Soul | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Full of Laughs | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tmorrowisalongtime | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meet At Dudley’s | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shvere Arbeter | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Private Mission | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hyland Haven | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosteria | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mama Superior | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Mo | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.