Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 18, 2020

October 18, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Honos Man 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Montana Moon 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Seeking Refuge 2.50 3 6-1
6 5 Sly 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Bench Judge 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Babael 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Single Me Out 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Next Flight 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Angel of Freedom 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Himiko 1.20 1.6 3-1
2 2 As Time Goes By 0.80 2 4-1
4 4 Miss Mo’ Licious 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Mojo Mama 20.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mulligan 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Lucia’s Design 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Boomchicaboom 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Kalliniki 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Roses and Candy 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Florentine Diamond 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Quality Line 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Wilshire Dude 1.20 2.5 5-1
5 5 Indy Jones 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Paynter’s Boy 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Outlaw 4.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Provost 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Port Saint Joe 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Much More Halo 1.60 2.8 5-1
3 3 Inch 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Witch’s Vow 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Deuce 5.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Gate Speed 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Natural History 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Bronn 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 2 Handsome Cat 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Suances Secret 50.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Call You Tomorrow 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Quick Finish 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dim Lights 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Miss Fraulein 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Majestic Gigi 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Acai 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Norma’s Love 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Savvy Gal 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Breakfast Ball 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Vegan 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Awesome Galaxy 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Anoakia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Queengol 1.80 1.3 3-1
4 4 Forest Caraway 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Illumination 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Kalypso 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Needless to Say 8.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Twilight Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Farmington Road 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Express Train 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Scarto 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Field Pass 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Smooth Like Strait 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Kiss Today Goodbye 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Margot’s Boy 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 K P All Systems Go 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Dominant Soul 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Full of Laughs 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Tmorrowisalongtime 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Meet At Dudley’s 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Shvere Arbeter 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Private Mission 1.80 2.3 4-1
9 9 Hyland Haven 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Frosteria 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Mama Superior 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lady Mo 50.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
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Begins Sun, Oct 25 1:10 PM ET
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