Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 18, 2020

October 18, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cotton Candy Cutie 1.20 2.4 5-1
5 5 Whyisshesoolucky 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Miss Loyalty 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Zecha 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Ruvies in Time 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Movie Score 8.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Exact 1.20 1.4 3-1
4 4 Obligatory 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Cafe Society 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 6 Jade Empress 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Hit the Woah 10.00 4.3 8-1
5A 5 Nisbet Beach 6.00 4.8 9-1
6A 6 Salt Plage 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Knickerbocker S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Breaking the Rules 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 En Wye Cee 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Olympico (FR) 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Devamani (FR) 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Seismic Wave 5.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pier Forty 1.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Ringgood 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mr. Fidget 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Liquor 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Stash My Money 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Never Hold Back 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Unbridled John 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Have a Heart 30.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Lorenzen 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 3 Puffery 2.00 4 8-1
11 4 Vibrancy 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Customerexperience 1.60 5.1 10-1
4 2 Stefanie On Fleek 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Rude Awaking 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tiltingatwindmills 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tiz a Kitten 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sky Kitten 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Red Curls 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mike’s Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Five Alarm Robin 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Brunate 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Black Irish 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Money in the Bank 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Imperio D 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Theitalianamerican 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Daithi 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Permanentresident 30.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Talespin 20.00 6 11-1
9 8 Second Fortune 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 River Nile 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 The Last Zip 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Road to Meath 5.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Conviction Trade 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Bad Beat Brian 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Voting Control 1.60 4.8 9-1
4 2 Bird’s Eye View 12.00 5 10-1
6 4 Albie 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 1 Malthael 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Arithmetic 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bad Guy 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Blood Moon 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 V Pattern 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 It’s Gravy 1.80 3.2 6-1
4 4 Forty Two Ace 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Excellent Timing 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dee Bo 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Horn of Plenty 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Doublepour 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Make It in Ny 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hill Prince S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bodecream 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Assiduously (GB) 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Get Smokin 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Decorated Invader 1.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Glynn County 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Buy Land and See 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Starting Over 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Chocolate Bar 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Money Moves 0.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Defy Expectations 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Canarsie Angel 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 1 Doll 5.00 5.6 11-1
11 8 Freddymo Factor 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Smack 3.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Classy Sadie 15.00 7 13-1
7 5 Bella Rose 12.00 7.2 14-1
12 9 Henni Penny 8.00 7.9 15-1
8 6 Winifred J 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Mind of Gold 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Big Al’s Gal 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Imincomunicado 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Stunning Munnings 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Left Leaning Lucy 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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