October 18, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Loyalty | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zecha | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruvies in Time | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Score | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Exact | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Obligatory | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cafe Society | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jade Empress | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Woah | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Nisbet Beach | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Salt Plage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Knickerbocker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Breaking the Rules | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | En Wye Cee | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olympico (FR) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devamani (FR) | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seismic Wave | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pier Forty | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ringgood | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Fidget | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liquor | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stash My Money | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Hold Back | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled John | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Have a Heart | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lorenzen | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | Puffery | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Vibrancy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Customerexperience | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Stefanie On Fleek | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rude Awaking | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiltingatwindmills | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sky Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Red Curls | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mike’s Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Five Alarm Robin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Brunate | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Irish | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money in the Bank | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Imperio D | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theitalianamerican | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daithi | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Permanentresident | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talespin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Second Fortune | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | River Nile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | The Last Zip | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Road to Meath | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Conviction Trade | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bad Beat Brian | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Voting Control | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bird’s Eye View | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Albie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Malthael | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arithmetic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bad Guy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Blood Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | V Pattern | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Gravy | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Two Ace | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Excellent Timing | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dee Bo | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Horn of Plenty | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doublepour | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make It in Ny | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bodecream | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Assiduously (GB) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get Smokin | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decorated Invader | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glynn County | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buy Land and See | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starting Over | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chocolate Bar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Money Moves | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Defy Expectations | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Canarsie Angel | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Doll | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Freddymo Factor | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smack | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Classy Sadie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bella Rose | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Henni Penny | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Winifred J | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mind of Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Big Al’s Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Imincomunicado | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stunning Munnings | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Left Leaning Lucy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.