October 17, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Unwanted Input | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dontpushyourluck | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jokers Run | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jungle Flower | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Petrol (GB) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Sunrise | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Twelfth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All Inclusive | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last American Exit | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | News Flash | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bend in the River | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trappeze Artist | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Moonlite | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Have a Souper Day | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Forester | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | On a Tour | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sleek Lynx (GB) | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Munnyfor Ro | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Believing | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Bourbon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me the Gold | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In My Opinion | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gote Go | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starlight Ridge | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Go Gigi Go Gigi Go | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Purple Scooter | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Benevida | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Asha Ironborn | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Tiger | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shanghai Kimmy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cefalo | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | This Round’s Mine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Bourbon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Ocelot | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Master McGrath | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Riptide Rock | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackman | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Black Limo | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | All Night Long | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amanofmystature | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | He’s a Topper | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cash in a Flash | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunsprite | 0.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Mamba | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purrsuade Me | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Guroo | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Big Plans | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jill | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gizmo’s B F F | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marais | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spider Belle | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fabiolla (GB) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glamourous Girl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Pecan | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cedar Valley | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Not Perfect | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grazarion | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eleanor Powell | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Glorious Song S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Souper Sensational | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reinforced | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s Penny | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Javanica | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Right to Freedom | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heidi | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Reload | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Above All Names | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tappitty Tappitty | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Cabernet | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Rain | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marwoods War | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Broken Breeze | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Nile | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Tango | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Believe In Beauty (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jumping Jill Flash | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Medal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gelato Amore | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Ballerina | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ishiyaya | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hai Bobbi | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patton’s Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Takota | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Checkerboard Floor | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookinatamiracle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockcrest | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Hot | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ennis the Menace | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bachelor Pad | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Matters | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hadley | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Out of Romance | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silent But Violent | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Secretly | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Admonish | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Voir Dire | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erasmo’s Girl | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kerics Beauty | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mitzi | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | El Valor | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Very Savvy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.