Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 17, 2020

October 17, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Unwanted Input 3.00 2 4-1
5 4 Dontpushyourluck 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Jokers Run 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Jungle Flower 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Lady Petrol (GB) 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Silver Sunrise 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 The Twelfth 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 All Inclusive 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Last American Exit 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 News Flash 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bend in the River 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Trappeze Artist 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Speedy Moonlite 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Have a Souper Day 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Kid Forester 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 On a Tour 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Sleek Lynx (GB) 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Munnyfor Ro 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Believing 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 American Bourbon 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Show Me the Gold 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 In My Opinion 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Gote Go 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starlight Ridge 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 Go Gigi Go Gigi Go 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Purple Scooter 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 7 Benevida 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Asha Ironborn 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Curlin’s Tiger 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 6 Shanghai Kimmy 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Cefalo 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 This Round’s Mine 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Blazing Bourbon 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Ocelot 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Master McGrath 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Riptide Rock 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Jackman 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Black Limo 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 All Night Long 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Amanofmystature 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 He’s a Topper 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Cash in a Flash 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sunsprite 0.60 3.3 6-1
7 7 Silent Mamba 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Purrsuade Me 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Silent Guroo 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Big Big Plans 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Jill 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Gizmo’s B F F 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marais 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Spider Belle 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Fabiolla (GB) 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Glamourous Girl 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Souper Pecan 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Cedar Valley 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 I’m Not Perfect 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Grazarion 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Eleanor Powell 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Glorious Song S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Souper Sensational 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Reinforced 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Charlie’s Penny 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Javanica 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Right to Freedom 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Heidi 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Rocket Reload 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Above All Names 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tappitty Tappitty 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Red Cabernet 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Moonlight Rain 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Marwoods War 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 A Broken Breeze 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Mystic Nile 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Silent Tango 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Believe In Beauty (IRE) 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Jumping Jill Flash 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Double Medal 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 6 Gelato Amore 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Spanish Ballerina 2.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ishiyaya 20.00 6 11-1
9 7 Hai Bobbi 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Patton’s Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Takota 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ari Gold Speedwagn 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Checkerboard Floor 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lookinatamiracle 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Rockcrest 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Souper Hot 2.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Ennis the Menace 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bachelor Pad 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Kaili’s Big Boy 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Money Matters 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hadley 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Out of Romance 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Silent But Violent 3.50 4 7-1
11 10 Secretly 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Admonish 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Voir Dire 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Erasmo’s Girl 20.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Kerics Beauty 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Mitzi 8.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 El Valor 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Very Savvy 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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