October 17, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Story | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warrens Candy Man | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J C Express | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play Chicken | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discretionary Day | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Star | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stars of Bluegrass | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Paul L | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Me Macho | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Chewbacca | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crankin | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cal’s Gem | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bullet Times | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Soothing | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lavender (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Truffles | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solitaire | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meso | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sabinos Pride | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | September Secret | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Righteously | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mucha Woman | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dancing Dana | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exchange Vows | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Frankie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mariah Girl (ARG) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Figura (IRE) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Y Not Sizzle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invincibella (GB) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunriser | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Thousand Dreams | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danceformunny | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Bennet | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Listen to Blue | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Street Behavior | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gone Awol | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hapi Hapi | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Fun | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vegas Moon | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meadway | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Papa’s Honey | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Dodge | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Factorial | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gregdar | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Time | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strike It Lucky | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Antithetical | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Combat Zone | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Colt Fiction | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golden Image | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gate Speed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moving Fast | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teton Valley | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Thunder | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Careless Kitten | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Child Sbud | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Club Cal | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Bedazzle Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Autumn Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Showtime | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guitty (FR) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nasty | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Secretary | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going to Vegas | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mind Out | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Princess Tale | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daddytellsastory | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | With a Whisper | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Smile | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Save the Story | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nicole Grace | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saving Sophie | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bailatino | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Mozart | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mira Loma Madam | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.