Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 17, 2020

October 17, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brandt 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 McLean House 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 He’s Zippin On By 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Pumpkin Star 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Cort’n Asong 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Borsa Vento 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Nomo d’Oro 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Neidermeyer 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Hand Full 5.00 3 6-1
6 5 Big Bad Bud 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Biletnikoff 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Bad Sueno 2.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Martini Lane 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Lethal Levy 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 The Exception 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Crescent Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bourbon Street 1.80 1.5 3-1
6 6 Rolling Palisades 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Rookie Salsa 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Baby Boomer 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lafitte’s Fleet 6.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Ruling 8.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stylish Ninetynine 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Sister Seville 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Susi Sole 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Spitfire Annie 6.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 I Am A. Luring 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Square Peg 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Lwf Drive Bye Gal 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 La Smarty 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Normalizeddeviance 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Wee Arch 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Indian Lake 1.80 1.4 3-1
5 4 Palatial Times 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 2 Big Daddy Buzz 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 1 Dr. Ferber 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Scotty Silver 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Battle of the Nile 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Stifler 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Highestdistinction 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Saint Alfred 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 V. I. P. Ticket 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Auld Lange Syne 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Successful Cure 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 He’s Super Lucky 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Palace Kitten 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aprilness 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Mosler’s Image 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Honor Your Mother 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Cinconola 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Princess Nina 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Renagade Rush 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Song of Honor 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Verbien O. P. 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Press My Bets 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Belle Tapisserie 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Almithmaar 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Workin On a Dream 6.00 3 6-1
7 6 Teak 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Marco Island 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 For the Moment 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Final Prospect 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Zaya 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 General Paddy 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Red Again 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sacramento Q 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Wild About Deb 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Little Mazzy 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Hero’s Hope 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Scamper Along 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Holiday Curls 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Ruby’s Rush 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Ridgelysredhot 3.50 3.4 6-1
11 11 Code Name Rosie 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 We Hap Now 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Willow Drive 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Miss Svengail 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Forty Charm Lady 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Alexa G 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Black Coast 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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