October 17, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brandt | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McLean House | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Zippin On By | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pumpkin Star | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cort’n Asong | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Borsa Vento | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nomo d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neidermeyer | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Hand Full | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Bad Bud | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Biletnikoff | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Sueno | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Martini Lane | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lethal Levy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Exception | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crescent Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Street | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rolling Palisades | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rookie Salsa | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Boomer | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruling | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stylish Ninetynine | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Seville | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Susi Sole | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spitfire Annie | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Am A. Luring | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Square Peg | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lwf Drive Bye Gal | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Smarty | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Normalizeddeviance | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wee Arch | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Indian Lake | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Palatial Times | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Daddy Buzz | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dr. Ferber | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scotty Silver | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle of the Nile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Stifler | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highestdistinction | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Alfred | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | V. I. P. Ticket | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Auld Lange Syne | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Successful Cure | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Super Lucky | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Kitten | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aprilness | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mosler’s Image | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Your Mother | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cinconola | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Nina | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Renagade Rush | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Song of Honor | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Verbien O. P. | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Press My Bets | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Belle Tapisserie | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Almithmaar | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Workin On a Dream | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Teak | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marco Island | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | For the Moment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Final Prospect | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zaya | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Paddy | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Again | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacramento Q | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild About Deb | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Mazzy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hero’s Hope | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scamper Along | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Curls | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby’s Rush | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ridgelysredhot | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Code Name Rosie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | We Hap Now | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willow Drive | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Svengail | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Charm Lady | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alexa G | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Coast | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.