October 16, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Hurricane Dancer | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bala Falls | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Conquistador | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Now We Are Nine | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | In a Twist | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat’s Whisper | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spanish Matador | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lyrical Note | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Miami | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bel Bimbo | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abbaa | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiricahua Signal | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Chairman | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mas Chikilin | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slip Kid | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Station Rock | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smarty River Pants | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Distinct Passion | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heydon’s Case | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silent Respect | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Garter | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Foxxy Belle | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Savvy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Girasol | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Boogie With Me | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rince Tapaigh | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fresh Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stokes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Katz On the Moon | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pinky Dude | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Zoomer Music | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Capture the Ride | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | D Magician | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Papa Tony | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Gershwin Tune | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ghost Island | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hope Vision | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Radio Nowhere | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cause for Alarm | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Wuk Up Queen | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One More Drift | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sensationalist | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Give Me an Eye | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Son of My Father | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Society Misfit | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Dance Alone | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artiesattheparty | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Bartman | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Watchnsee | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Secret Roi | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 14 | Optimystical | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Have Hope | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Thinking | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jordans Way | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Make It Rain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Skipys Legacy | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Soul n’ Spirit | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silver Dahlia | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Scribbles | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betwixting | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Teacher’s Pet | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreams Are Free | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Systemic Risk | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Eh | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Beast | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Takota | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kingly | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ride a Comet | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Solidify | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Silver | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dun Drum | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brass Compass | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thor’s Rocket | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Cabernet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ice Blue | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Gizmo | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Conquer Him | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jegos Fire | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Society Joe | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Patrol | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Melody | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Embrace My Uncle | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mycrazylife | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mo Nation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Spanish Major | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Giantballs of Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Keep Your Word | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Itmakesmewonder | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Polydeuces | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sundance Hit | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.