Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 16, 2020

October 16, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lexophilia 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lenten Rose 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Jackpot Kitten 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Pilot Episode 3.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Slime Queen 6.00 9.3 18-1
1A 1 Cloud Ten 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Rosalie (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Niceno 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Look Me Over 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Saigon 30.00 SCRATCH
11A 11 Three Sided Story 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eric’s Empire 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 El Equalizer 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Scottsdale 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Flight Map 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Lugamo 3.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Speightster Red 2.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Dynamic Day 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Decorated 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Stone Courageous 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Commanding General 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Holly Blame 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Russeldoingthings 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Inside Risk 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Carey Times 3.00 1.7 3-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Peachy Keen 1.40 1.4 3-1
7 7 Bulldog Connection 30.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Carson and I 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Lasting Image 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lock 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Summer Somewhere 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Divine Proportion 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Elusive Jester 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Curlee Fox 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Jestful 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Winston Pegg 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Don Ciccio 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ballyhoo Prince 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ready Reward 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Storm Tower 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Wickydidit 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thedevilmademedoit 3.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Nevisian Sunset 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Ragtime Suzy 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Makin’ Out 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Simmard Shenanigan 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Girl Next Door 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Win Then Grin 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Ortinola 6.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Steady Love 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Savedbythebelle 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Hot Choice 15.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Sailingintothewind 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Miss Chloe G 15.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 A Girl Named Jac 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 One Last Trial 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 R V Treasure 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pink Pearl 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fionnbharr 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Good On Paper 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Our Little Jewel 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Shifra Magician 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Glory Song 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Tastes Like Plaid 12.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Marden 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Forfiftyfiverocket 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 D C Fireman 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Noble Way 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Revolutionary Road 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Seven On the Rocks 4.50 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chambered Bullet 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Po Dunk 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Thunderinthevalley 1.80 1.5 3-1
9 9 Runfastbaby 30.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 My Super Sally 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Jennyanyspot 20.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Not My Money 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Why Not You 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Spanish Red 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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