Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 16, 2020

October 16, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 French Reef (IRE) 1.40 3.5 7-1
7 6 Bourbon Currency 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Duress 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Maxwell Esquire 2.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Cryogenic 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Fame to Famous 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Montauk Daddy 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Shamrocked 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Foolish Ghost 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Niiji 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Daily Briefing 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Jordy Can Tap 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Joqular 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Miss Morgantown 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Little Nutter 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Rosies Surprise 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Quiet Type 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Conventionalwisdom 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Song of Innocence 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 La Urbana 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Vacay 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 A Bit o’Irish Sass 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Exfiltration 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Vallarand 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mondeuse 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Maria’s Gift 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Orpheus (ARG) 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mills 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Autostrade 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Business Cycle 3.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Summer Bourbon 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Direct Order 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Neighborhood Bully 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Financial Freedom 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Eden Ridge 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Real Dan 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mebs Web 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Love That Face 3.50 1.9 3-1
1 1 Crick 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Vitanza 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sander’s Empire 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lemoncella 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Queentigua 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Empress Luciana 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Buffet 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Scilly Cay 4.50 2.8 5-1
9 5 Call Me Harry 3.50 3.3 6-1
11 6 Power Up Paynter 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 1 Noble Emotion 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Bustin Shout 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 4 Bronx Bomber 30.00 7.1 14-1
1 1 Mo Maverick 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Freewheeler 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fast Getaway 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Shiraz 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Big Package 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 5 Our Circle of Love 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 1 Slimey 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 3 Gone Glimmering 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Secure Connection 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 2 Kitten’s Covergirl 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Desert Oasis (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Madeleine Must (FR) 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Bredenbury (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kreesie 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Stone Tornado (GB) 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rational Choice 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Ten for Ten 2.50 1.3 3-1
8 8 Savoy 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Morethansoultitle 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Constitutional Law 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Officiating 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Rock Sugar 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Lotsnlotsofchrome 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 American Ruler 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pure Rhythm 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 5 Una Luna 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Pandamom 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Wicked Amber 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Key Biscayne 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Whatdoesasharksay 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Coilean Bawn 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Crystalle 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Windfall Profit 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 No Ordinary Time 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 2 Dollar Mountain 10.00 2.5 5-1
2A 1 Traffic Lane 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 4 Unionduesincluded 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Reina Del Sol 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Firefoot 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Linear Thinking (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kerry Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Irish Crush (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Schiele (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Evvie Jets 5.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Never Content (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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