October 16, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | French Reef (IRE) | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bourbon Currency | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Duress | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maxwell Esquire | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cryogenic | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fame to Famous | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Montauk Daddy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shamrocked | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Foolish Ghost | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Niiji | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daily Briefing | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jordy Can Tap | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joqular | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Morgantown | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little Nutter | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rosies Surprise | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Type | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Conventionalwisdom | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Song of Innocence | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | La Urbana | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vacay | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exfiltration | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vallarand | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mondeuse | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maria’s Gift | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Orpheus (ARG) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mills | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autostrade | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Business Cycle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Bourbon | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Direct Order | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neighborhood Bully | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Financial Freedom | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eden Ridge | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Dan | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mebs Web | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love That Face | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crick | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vitanza | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sander’s Empire | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lemoncella | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queentigua | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Empress Luciana | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buffet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Scilly Cay | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Call Me Harry | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Power Up Paynter | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Noble Emotion | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bustin Shout | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bronx Bomber | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Maverick | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Freewheeler | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fast Getaway | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shiraz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Big Package | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Our Circle of Love | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Slimey | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gone Glimmering | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Secure Connection | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Oasis (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Madeleine Must (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bredenbury (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kreesie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stone Tornado (GB) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rational Choice | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ten for Ten | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Savoy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morethansoultitle | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Constitutional Law | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Officiating | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Sugar | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lotsnlotsofchrome | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Ruler | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pure Rhythm | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Una Luna | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pandamom | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Amber | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Key Biscayne | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whatdoesasharksay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Coilean Bawn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crystalle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Windfall Profit | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | No Ordinary Time | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Dollar Mountain | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Traffic Lane | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Unionduesincluded | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reina Del Sol | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Firefoot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Linear Thinking (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kerry Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Irish Crush (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Schiele (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Evvie Jets | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Never Content (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.