Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 15, 2020

October 15, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 D’s Ben 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Am Prepared 2.50 4 8-1
6 5 Truly Elite 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Prison Padre 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Seemee 3.50 4.5 9-1
8 7 Street Cat Sam 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Just Run With It 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Cape Nero 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Warning Belle 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Showbiz Lady 1.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Misguided Passion 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Simply Mysterious 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Ready’s Princess 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Madame Gizmo 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Unclaimedtreasure 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Documented 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Blind Trust 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Best and Final 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Abstemious 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Executive Giant 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Ami’s Amy 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Awesome Yet Again 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Maakwa 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Passthepuddinpleaz 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Bold Animaux 4.00 2.9 6-1
11 10 Black Sea (FR) 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 8 Red Bo 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Where’s the Widget 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Greenfield 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Spanish River 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Moon Magic 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Blue Belt 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Sheer Flattery 20.00 7 13-1
3 2 Conquest Eliminatr 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Gunner Ben 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cindervella 3.00 2.9 6-1
12 10 Finest Jewel 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 8 Wilburnrubber 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Red Queen’s Court 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Moksgmol 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Grateful Praise 10.00 5 10-1
1 1 Five Days in May 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 9 Lilibet 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Calais Cove 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Martini Sue 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Bonnie Lee 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sea Lily 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Finalist 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Lucas n’ Lori 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Doctor Uptown 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Silence Breakers 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tricky Magician 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 True Dat 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Yzerman 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Victor’s Dynasty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Second Grace 2.50 2.3 4-1
9 7 If Six Was Nine 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 La Bestia 8.00 4 8-1
8 6 Pipestone 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Wide Awake 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Elfin Forest 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Echo Strike Again 20.00 5.6 11-1
10 8 Cherubic 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Sky Dragon 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rookie Girl 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Range of Motion 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Kuduro 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Samuel H 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Another Breeze 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Wings of Victory 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mint Monster 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Liquid Louie 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Prince Martheus 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 American Driven 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 The Kodiac Kid (IRE) 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Joan’s Christine 3.00 2.5 5-1
10 9 Lefootwostomps 8.00 3.4 7-1
12 11 Ring in Silence 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Miss Matilda 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Business Class 10.00 6.1 12-1
11 10 Vinpearl Valentine 12.00 7.2 14-1
14 13 Miss Evangeline 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 7 Six Pack Girl 12.00 7.6 14-1
13 12 Aloha Wilko 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 6 Machisima 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Laxmi 20.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Beat the Rush 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Miss Artie Deco 20.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Trickeration 20.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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