Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 14, 2020

October 14, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Wowwhatabrat 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Nana’s Shoes 2.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Stakes On a Plane 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Floating By 10.00 4 8-1
6 5 Lady Breanna 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Dr. Ann 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Princess Palomar 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 There Goes My Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Hope Has a Name 2.50 4 8-1
2 1 Chitu’s Beauty 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Successful Legacy 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Vegas Weekend 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Triple Digit 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 2 Monkey On My Back 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Tap Dance Fever 10.00 5 9-1
9 8 Marketability 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mikey’s Jewel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Itsagimme’s Girl 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Nikki Bella 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Splendor Gal 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ciao Luna 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Dancingthehnydaway 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Takin It Easy 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Desert Image 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Lucky Find 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Persisto 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Global Ambition 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Pat’s No Fool 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Dance and Dance 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 I Dare U 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Fairy Wish 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Fine One Won 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Athenasway 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Pretti Xtreme 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ananroad 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 2 McCain 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Yes Sir Colonel 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Super Dancer 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Wye Mumbo 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Chain Breaker 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Dance for the Gold 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Fullmoon Bay 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Our West Indy 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 We Five 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Steely Band 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Diva of Seville 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 I Know I Can Dance 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Trikki Nikki 8.00 6.7 13-1
3A 3 Rockin Anna Rollin 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hazels Little Man 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Communication Fail 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Meet Me At Mundis 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Lion’s Court 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Rrace Day Warrior 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Boss Logic 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Tiz Golden 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Frankee Merch 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Elementary 2.50 1.3 3-1
10 10 Bootlegger (FR) 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Empty Nestr 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Beacos Disco Pants 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Campari 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Fine Spirit 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Linda’s Nekia 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Trapper’s Delight 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Southern Cal 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Expect Drama 15.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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