Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 12, 2020

October 12, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Gypsy Wife 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Cousin Basil 1.80 3.3 6-1
6 5 Broad Jumper 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Magicallydelicious 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 6 Misquillo 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Keepmyeyeontheboys 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Yourindenial 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 These Blues 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 5 Bang the Drum 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 4 Still Chief 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Don’t Make It Easy 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 2 Fifty 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Truly a Moon Shot 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Navy Commander 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Niko Strong 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Baringer Spring 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ajhar 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Mithra 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Markofthemaker 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Splitzville 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Rebel Traveller 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Grandfire 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 A Gray for Carolyn 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Brilliant Worth 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Traffic Trouble 3.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Muntahez 6.00 3 6-1
11 10 Curlin’s Knight 2.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Mountain Tree 6.00 5 9-1
7 6 Royal Coup 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 9 Proudmiamicitizen 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 5 Brew Dog 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 1 Yes It’s Bonifide 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 Asbury Ave 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Nonno Pietro 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gold Rush Kizzie 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Current Situation 1.60 2.8 5-1
1 1 Spectacular Now 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Don’ttouchmystuff 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Smokin Princess 2.00 4.3 8-1
9 7 Stay Salty 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Layla’s Voyage 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Ragazza Carina 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Tweety Kitten 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Loyal Aficionada 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Petulant Delight 2.00 2 4-1
3 2 The Robert 6.00 2 4-1
7 6 Seat of Honor 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Klaatu 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 General Bellamy 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 O’Kram 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Asphalt Paving 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Bernie 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 5 Smart Rags 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 3 Brio Man 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 7 Not Fake News 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 6 Pegasus Red 5.00 5.9 11-1
6 4 King’s House 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Kid Mac Cool 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 8 Blinding 20.00 8 15-1
12 10 Sunrise Saturday 15.00 9.2 17-1
11 9 Lunar Rover 20.00 9.3 18-1
14 11 The Money Train 20.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Incensed 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 The Pooch 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Down With the King 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 4 Fire’s Finale 1.60 2.2 4-1
1A 5 Celtic Heart 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 Garban 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 2 Voy a Ti 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 1 Go Skippy Go 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 2 Go Lime 5.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Happy Rage 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Irish Honor 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Louie’s Law 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Koan 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Quality Choice 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Haz a Notion 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 In Equality 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Speed Syndrome 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Flat Bill 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Informative 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Jw’s Third Mischie 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 K D’s Cat Bird 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Glamorous Thunder 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 True Boldness 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 6 Solomonic 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Moon Gate Warrior 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 He Iz Gone 8.00 3 6-1
5 4 I’m Busy 5.00 4.5 8-1
10 8 Cape May Style 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 7 Get the W 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Delinquent 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Air Attack 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Artistic Drifter 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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