Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 12, 2020
October 12, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Gypsy Wife | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cousin Basil | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Broad Jumper | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magicallydelicious | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Misquillo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Keepmyeyeontheboys | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yourindenial | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | These Blues | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bang the Drum | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Still Chief | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Make It Easy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Fifty | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truly a Moon Shot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Navy Commander | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Niko Strong | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Baringer Spring | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ajhar | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mithra | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Markofthemaker | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splitzville | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Traveller | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grandfire | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Gray for Carolyn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Brilliant Worth | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Traffic Trouble | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Muntahez | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Curlin’s Knight | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mountain Tree | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Coup | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Proudmiamicitizen | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brew Dog | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yes It’s Bonifide | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Asbury Ave | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nonno Pietro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Current Situation | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spectacular Now | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’ttouchmystuff | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smokin Princess | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Stay Salty | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Layla’s Voyage | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragazza Carina | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tweety Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Loyal Aficionada | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Petulant Delight | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Robert | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Seat of Honor | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Klaatu | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General Bellamy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | O’Kram | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asphalt Paving | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Bernie | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Smart Rags | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brio Man | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Not Fake News | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pegasus Red | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | King’s House | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Mac Cool | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Blinding | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sunrise Saturday | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lunar Rover | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | The Money Train | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incensed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Pooch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Down With the King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Fire’s Finale | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Celtic Heart | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Garban | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Voy a Ti | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Go Skippy Go | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Go Lime | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Happy Rage | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Irish Honor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Louie’s Law | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Koan | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quality Choice | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Haz a Notion | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Equality | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Speed Syndrome | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Bill | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Informative | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K D’s Cat Bird | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Glamorous Thunder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | True Boldness | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Solomonic | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Gate Warrior | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | He Iz Gone | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m Busy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cape May Style | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Get the W | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delinquent | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Attack | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Artistic Drifter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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