Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 12, 2020

October 12, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Frost Me 4.00 2.1 4-1
10 8 Big Time Lady 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Pop the Bubbly 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Masu 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 7 Cara’s Dreamer 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 5 Wish for Magic 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 U Should B Dancing 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Gray Lollipops 15.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Boomkittybyebye 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Saluki 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ten Plagues 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Wicked Title 3.00 3 6-1
2 1 Gringotts 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 5 Wiggle and Jiggle 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 3 La Negrita 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 2 Queendom 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 She’s a Lumberjane 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Wild North 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sarahrini 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sam and Sy 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Bowing Snowman 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 4 Go Cash Go 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Cape Cod Gem 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 In the Zone 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 Skippingandajumpin 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fun Finder 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Dare to Try 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Invaluable 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Whistlinginthedark 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Quasar 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Ava K’s Girl 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Anydayisherday 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Scarf It Down 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Flowers for Lisa 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 3 Playwright 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Creative Style 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Shalako 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Hushion 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Joe’s Smokin Gun 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 10 Grape Therapy 1.80 2.4 5-1
15 9 Buffet 4.00 4 8-1
11 6 Chaika 8.00 4 8-1
8 5 Ghostghostghost 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Love Me Tomorrow 4.50 4.6 9-1
13 7 Tiny Magoo 5.00 5.4 10-1
14 8 Mia Bea Star 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Big Red Girl 12.00 7 13-1
5 3 Imprsstheprofessor 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Rosey’s Invasion 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Excited Feeling 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Vinita 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Courted 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Homerun Honey 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Madam Deputy 8.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Idaka 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Malibu Pro 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Tiz He the One 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 Mad Munnys 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 American Power 6.00 3.4 7-1
6 5 Super Dude 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Hammerin Aamer 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Expert 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Binkster 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 3 Clench 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Morning Breez 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Brush Country 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 5 Ink Splotz 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Blindwillie McTell 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Cost Basis 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chowda 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 After Prom Party 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Dangerous Edge 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dr. Devera’s Way 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Beach Front 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Larceny 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 I Saw It All 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Jack of Clubs 15.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Our American Star 15.00 5.6 11-1
12 11 Macho Boy 30.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Fotis 50.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Bank On This 30.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Seven Is Heaven 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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