October 12, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Frost Me | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
10 | 8 | Big Time Lady | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Pop the Bubbly | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Masu | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
9 | 7 | Cara’s Dreamer | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Wish for Magic | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | U Should B Dancing | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | Gray Lollipops | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Boomkittybyebye | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Saluki | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Ten Plagues | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 6 | Wicked Title | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Gringotts | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 5 | Wiggle and Jiggle | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
5 | 3 | La Negrita | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Queendom | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
6 | 4 | She’s a Lumberjane | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Wild North | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Sarahrini | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Sam and Sy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
2 | 2 | Bowing Snowman | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Go Cash Go | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Cape Cod Gem | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | In the Zone | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Skippingandajumpin | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Fun Finder | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Dare to Try | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Invaluable | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Whistlinginthedark | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Quasar | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Ava K’s Girl | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Anydayisherday | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Scarf It Down | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
3 | 2 | Flowers for Lisa | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Playwright | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Creative Style | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Shalako | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Hushion | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | 10 | Grape Therapy | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
15 | 9 | Buffet | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
11 | 6 | Chaika | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 5 | Ghostghostghost | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Love Me Tomorrow | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
13 | 7 | Tiny Magoo | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
14 | 8 | Mia Bea Star | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Big Red Girl | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 3 | Imprsstheprofessor | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Rosey’s Invasion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Excited Feeling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Vinita | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Courted | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Homerun Honey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Madam Deputy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 4 | Idaka | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Malibu Pro | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tiz He the One | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Mad Munnys | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | American Power | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Super Dude | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Hammerin Aamer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Expert | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Binkster | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Clench | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Morning Breez | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Brush Country | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
8 | 5 | Ink Splotz | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Blindwillie McTell | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Cost Basis | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Chowda | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | After Prom Party | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Dangerous Edge | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Beach Front | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 9 | Larceny | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | I Saw It All | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Jack of Clubs | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
11 | 10 | Our American Star | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
12 | 11 | Macho Boy | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Fotis | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Bank On This | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
10 | 10 | Seven Is Heaven | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.