October 11, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kleen Karma | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empress of Fire | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pushing Sixty | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On Mars | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Moon | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Mel | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seiche | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A. P. Pharoah | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystery Man | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlito | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mystery Messenger | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Scents | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Psycho Dar | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contagion | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Portando | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Via Egnatia | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Merneith | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paid Informant | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Principal | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Li’l Grazen | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unicorn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Siena Silk | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Constantia | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Sky | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cover Version | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Loves Karaoke | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbreakable | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Kissed | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Give Up | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brandons Danger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | First Empress | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Silk | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apache Pass | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pasito | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manresa | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samandah | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Flag H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Galilean | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baja Sur | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mikes Tiznow | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rookie Mistake | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ultimate Bango | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grinning Tiger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Wedding Groom | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cozy Bear | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lovesick Blues | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Hot Cat | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Detective Bernardo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cojo | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Investment Account | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Williams Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | From the Get Go | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Brix | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coalinga Road | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fly to Mars | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Will Not | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zipper Mischief | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clayton Delaney | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Short of Ez | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goldie’s Hills | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Doughnut | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreamer’s Reality | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shady Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | See Through It | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.