October 11, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Overpower | 30.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Admiral | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hostile Witness | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daper’s Drink | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Senor Seville | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Security Breach | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stand My Ground | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Single Focus | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Moonshine | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Food and Wine | 1.40 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Solution | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Saint | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tri Try Colors | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Silent Malice | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Torres Del Paine | 2.50 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Isabella’s Magic | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kathak | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Watcher | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talented Dr. B | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derek’s Boy | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Home | 1.20 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reliability | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deshackled | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jolly Swagman | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paint Music for Me | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Auchincruive | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Super Houdini | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Paddy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ripken | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strolled On By | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ratify | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lock | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Renny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Point Driven | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Apache Brave | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McPherson | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dowse’s Beach | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jarvis Steel | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Mops | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battlebus | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jammer | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spokane Eagle | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Uhwarrie Sky | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Step | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | No Knock Raid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Higher Purpose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Daystrike | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mineshaft Magic | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Panther | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twice Served | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop Talking | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who Knows What | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Reward | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Mad Dog | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Padrino’s Heart | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Start With Yes | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jebologist | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nautical Nature | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trifor Gold | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joseph | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Godlovesasinner | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kneesinthebreeze | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abuelo Paps | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Railmaster | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | D C Fireman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Commanding General | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lagom | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dundalk | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Vision | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Pass It Up | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Commissioner | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunnison | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | V. I. P. Ticket | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Paradise Pride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Passion Play | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rough Sea | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dream Doctor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Galerio | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Walk Away Joe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Proud Mandate | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Millie Child | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Amanda | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halfinthewrapper | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polished Copper | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Chicot | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Le Petite Papillon | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.