Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 11, 2020

October 11, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Overpower 30.00 0.7 1-1
2 2 Fleet Admiral 20.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Hostile Witness 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Daper’s Drink 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Senor Seville 6.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Security Breach 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Stand My Ground 5.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Single Focus 15.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 My Moonshine 8.00 7.4 14-1
14 14 Food and Wine 1.40 8.9 17-1
7 7 Classy Solution 15.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Holy Saint 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tri Try Colors 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Silent Malice 1.60 SCRATCH
15 15 Torres Del Paine 2.50 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Isabella’s Magic 20.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Kathak 15.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Moon Watcher 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Talented Dr. B 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Derek’s Boy 2.50 5 10-1
4 4 Gone Home 1.20 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reliability 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Deshackled 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Jolly Swagman 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Paint Music for Me 8.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Auchincruive 20.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Super Houdini 15.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 My Boy Paddy 4.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Ripken 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Strolled On By 6.00 2.5 5-1
13 13 Ratify 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Lock 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Uncle Renny 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Point Driven 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Apache Brave 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 McPherson 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Dowse’s Beach 1.80 1.9 4-1
11 11 Jarvis Steel 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Charlie Mops 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Battlebus 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Jammer 30.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Spokane Eagle 12.00 2.8 5-1
13 13 Uhwarrie Sky 30.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Smart Step 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 No Knock Raid 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Higher Purpose 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Daystrike 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mineshaft Magic 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Gold Panther 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Twice Served 4.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Stop Talking 15.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Who Knows What 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Infinite Reward 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Ms Mad Dog 12.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Padrino’s Heart 6.00 1.4 3-1
12 12 Start With Yes 8.00 1.7 3-1
13 13 Jebologist 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Nautical Nature 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Trifor Gold 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Joseph 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Godlovesasinner 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Kneesinthebreeze 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Abuelo Paps 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Railmaster 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 D C Fireman 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Commanding General 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Forfiftyfiverocket 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lagom 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Dundalk 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Clear Vision 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Can’t Pass It Up 20.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Lil Commissioner 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Gunnison 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 V. I. P. Ticket 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Paradise Pride 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Passion Play 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Rough Sea 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Dream Doctor 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Galerio 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Walk Away Joe 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Proud Mandate 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Millie Child 15.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Go Amanda 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Halfinthewrapper 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Polished Copper 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lake Chicot 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Le Petite Papillon 6.00 2.3 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Saturday Remington Park
Begins Sat, Oct 24 8:07 PM ET
Sunday Belmont Park
Begins Sun, Oct 25 12:40 PM ET
Sunday Churchill Downs
Begins Sun, Oct 25 1:00 PM ET
Sunday Woodbine
Begins Sun, Oct 25 1:10 PM ET
Sunday Santa Anita
Begins Sun, Oct 25 3:30 PM ET
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